Bills at Packers NFL Week 4 Lines & Prediction

In NFL Week 3, the Buffalo Bills provided the third greatest upset in NFL history. Buffalo upset Minnesota 27-6 as a +17 dog. Can the Bills keep it going against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau? Or, will the Packers bounce back from a loss to Washington and dominate Buffalo? Check out odds, analysis, and a free pick when the Packers host the Bills in NFL Week 4!

Bills at Packers NFL Week 4 Lines & Prediction

When you bust everyone’s survivor pools. #GoBills pic.twitter.com/XE8XGUEyUf

— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) September 24, 2018

When: Sunday, Sep. 30 at 1:00 pm ET Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI TV: CBS Radio: Buffalo / Green Bay Live Stream: NFL Live ATS Odds: Green Bay -10 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 45.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

• Partly Cloudy: 12^°C/54^°F
• Humidity: 52%
• Precipitation: 7%
• Wind: 7 mph SE
• Cloud Cover: 38%
• Type of Stadium: Open

Why are the Bills a good bet at +10?

No doubt Minnesota looked past the Bills in Week 3, but we mustn’t take anything away from Buffalo. Rookie quarterback Josh Allen completed over 68% of his passes, threw a TD, and didn’t throw an interception. Allen also rushed for 2 touchdowns. Even without cornerback Vontae Davis who retired during halftime in Week 2, Buffalo’s defense stopped Minnesota’s offense. Buffalo might have turned the page with the win, meaning they could carry the great play over to Week 4.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 16.7
• Total Yards: 246
• Pass Yards: 147.7
• Rush Yards: 98.3

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 28
• Total Yards: 336.7
• Pass Yards: 256.7
• Rush Yards: 80

Why are the Packers a good bet at -10?

So far this season, the Packers have been up and down. The victory over the Chicago Bears in Week 1 was great and Green Bay did play Minnesota tough for a tie in Week 2, but the Packers couldn’t do anything against Washington in Week 3. Green Bay looked like a tired squad in the 17-31 loss. However, the Packers have a great shot of turning it around against Buffalo, mainly because they battle the Bills at home in Week 4. It’s put up or shut up time for Green Bay if they hope to win the NFC North. Dominating a team like Buffalo is a way to put up instead of shutting up.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 23.3
• Total Yards: 353.7
• Pass Yards: 264.7
• Rush Yards: 89

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 27.7
• Total Yards: 386.7
• Pass Yards: 262.3
• Rush Yards: 124.3

NFL Football Betting Trends Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers

• Buffalo is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
• Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games on the road
• The total went UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games on the road
• Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
• Green Bay is 1-4-1 SU in the last 6 games
• The total went OVER in 8 of Green Bay’s last 9 games

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers Final Analysis

The trends imply that this goes either way. Buffalo jumped onto Minnesota in Week 3 and never let up. The Bills won because the Vikings a) looked past Buffalo to their Thursday game against the Rams, and b) entered the battle with Buffalo with bad strategies on offense and defense. The Bills no doubt are a better team with Josh Allen than they are with Nathan Peterman at quarterback, but Buffalo should bounce some after beating Minnesota as such a huge dog. Green Bay should take advantage of Davis’ absence the way Minnesota couldn’t. I like the Packers to cover the monster spread. NFL Football Week 4 Pick: Packers -10