With the unbeaten and top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide a virtual shoo-in to beat the reeling Arkansas Razorbacks when they meet in their Week 6 SEC showdown, the only real question that college football betting enthusiasts need to answer is whether or not the Tide will almost literally roll all over the Razorbacks to cover the chalk as huge, five-touchdown road favorites in the NCAAF odds.
With this matchup going down live from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback stadium on Saturday afternoon at noon, let’s find out if the defending national champs can cover the spread.
Alabama vs Arkansas NCAA Football Week 6 Lines & Preview
- When: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 12:00 PM ET
- Where: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: TuneIn
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- NCAA Football Week 6 Odds: Alabama -35 / Total: 58
- Mostly Cloudy: 23°C/74°F
- Humidity: 80%
- Precipitation: 24%
- Wind: 10 mph SSW
- Cloud Cover: 74%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On The Alabama Crimson Tide?
why should you bet on Alabama in this Week 6 showdown? There are a bunch of reasons. First, the Crimson Tide have literally beaten the hell out of all five of their opponents this season. Nick Saban’s perennially-powerful team is averaging a stupendous 553.2 yards of total offense per game, good for 5th in the nation. The Tide are also putting up a whopping 54.2 points per game to lead the nation in scoring. Alabama is also shutting down their opponents in ranking fifth in points allowed (13.0 ppg).
Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has given the Tide an added aspect of passing the ball they didn’t have before. The star of last season’s national championship victory has thrown 14 TD passes and no interceptions while completing an insane 75.0 percent of his passes. Last but not least, another great reason to back Alabama to cover the high spread is that Arkansas is completely awful, but I’ll get into that in just a bit.
- Average Score For: 54.20
- Total Yards: 553.20
- Pass Yards: 335.80
- Rush Yards: 217.40
- Average Score Against: 130
- Total Yards: 317.60
- Pass Yards: 190.80
- Rush Yards: 126.80
Why Bet On The Arkansas Razorbacks?
Why should you bet on Arkansas to cover the spread? Well, it’s simple…they’re getting five touchdowns. Arkansas has lost four straight and comes into this contest off a tough 24-17 loss at Texas A&M in Week 5 although they easily covered the spread as 20-point underdogs. Arkansas is averaging a modest 23.8 points per game while allowing 31.2 points per contest defensively. Quarterback Ty Storey is completing just 50.6 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and four interceptions.
- Average Score For: 23.80
- Total Yards: 348.80
- Pass Yards: 207
- Rush Yards: 141.80
- Average Score Against: 31.20
- Total Yards: 352.80
- Pass Yards: 247
- Rush Yards: 105.80
Alabama vs Arkansas NCAA Football Week 6 Betting Trends
- Alabama is 2-3-1 ATS in the last 6 games on the road
- Alabama is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went OVER in 5 of Alabama’s last 6 games
- Arkansas is 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 games
- Arkansas is 1-7 SU in the last 8 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Arkansas’s last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Alabama vs Arkansas
If you’re looking at this high point spread and worrying that Alabama might not be able to cover such a huge number, don’t worry!
I know the 35-point spread is big, but Alabama has one of its most explosive offensive teams in the Nick Saban era and Arkansas has played like a bad high school team for the most part. The Razorbacks were beaten by Colorado State in Week 2 as a 14-point road favorite against the much smaller FCS program. The Razorbacks then got dominated by smaller North Texas 44-17 in Week 3 before getting smacked around by Auburn 34-2 in Week 4.
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference matchups and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games while Arkansas has gone 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Make no mistake about it, the Crimson Tide are better in every facet and I’m expecting them to dominate an Arkansas program that seems to be free-falling back into oblivion.
NCAA Football Week 6 Pick: Alabama 49 Arkansas 10