F1 Betting Preview & Prediction: 2018 Chinese GP

Posted by Eric Williams on Sunday,April 15, 2018 6:18, EDT in

It’s two up and two down F1 Betting enthusiasts. That’s right, two races into the 2018 season and I’m a perfect 2-for-2. Now, I’m looking to make it three in a row – and I’ll give you a hint. My pick isn’t the same guy that won the first two races of the season.

Before we find out who my pick this week is though, let me give all of the Formula 1 futures odds bettors thinking about making a wager on this year’s overall champion a heads up by saying that no driver has won the opening two races and then failed to win the overall title since Keke Rosberg accomplished the feat after Alain Prost won the first two races back in 1982.

Now, let’s find out who my pick is this week.

F1 Betting Preview & Prediction: 2018 Chinese GP

  • When: April 15, 2018
  • Where: Shanghai International Circuit, Shanghai, China
  • Course length: 5.451 km (3.387 mi)
  • Distance: 56 laps, 305.066 km (189.559 mi)

F1 Betting Odds to Win

  • Lewis Hamilton: +100
  • Sebastian Vettel: +160
  • Max Verstappen: +750
  • Daniel Ricciardo: +750
  • Valtteri Bottas: +800
  • Kimi Raikkonen: +1200
  • Any Other: +2200

A Little Bit of History

Mercedes has gone unbeaten in China in the current hybrid era, with victories for Lewis Hamilton in 2014, 2015 and 2017, and for Nico Rosberg in 2016. Hamilton also won in Shanghai twice with McLaren, making this one of just four tracks he’s won at five times (the others being the Circuit of The Americas, Hungaroring, and Silverstone). The only circuit on which the Briton has won more often is the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve in Canada (6).

Ferrari’s last win in China was with Fernando Alonso in 2013. The Italian team has been on the podium every year since, but the closest they’ve come to winning was Vettel’s second place last season.

The Season So Far

Vettel narrowly held on to win a dramatic Bahrain Grand Prix from pole position last Sunday, while his Ferrari teammate Kimi Raikkonen accidentally broke a team mechanic’s leg after a botched tire change cost him a podium spot. Lewis Hamilton benefited from Raikkonen’s mishap to finish third behind his Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas.

Vettel made a crucial blocking move late to get the win by only 0.6 seconds. It was the four-time F1 champion’s 49th career win on his 200th race start.

”The last five laps were really difficult,” Vettel said. ”I thought Valtteri would catch me. I nursed the tires and it worked, but only just.”

Vettel followed up his win at the season-opening Australian GP two weeks ago by staying focused late last week.

”I was doing the maths in the car: 10 laps to go, with that pace he’s going to catch me,” a relieved Vettel said. ”I just really tried to keep it as clean as possible.”

Hamilton now trails Vettel by 17 points after two races and has not won in his past five races overall. Bottas, who is fighting to get a new contract for next year, rebounded in a big way after the disappointing eighth-place finish in Melbourne in the season opener.

”I knew there would be a chance at the end. But it wasn’t quite enough,” Bottas said. ”Being second with such a close margin is extremely disappointing.”

Inside the Numbers

Mercedes has won the pole at Shanghai for the past six consecutive years, with 2013 being the only year they didn’t turn that position into a victory.

In 14 races at Shanghai, the winner has started from the pole a whopping nine times. The lowest winning starting position was sixth, where Michael Schumacher pulled off that feat back in 2006.

Lewis Hamilton is the top F1 Betting favorite to win in China next Sunday.

With third place in Bahrain, Lewis Hamilton equaled Kimi Raikkonen’s all-time record for consecutive points finishes. The Briton is looking for a 28th straight top-ten finish this weekend to set a new record. Only three drivers have recorded 50 or more wins in F1 history. Schumacher (91), Hamilton (62) and the previously mentioned Prost (51).

Expert F1 Betting Prediction

I’m going to go with Lewis Hamilton to get a much-needed win in China, seeing as how he’s already won here five times in his future Hall of Fame career, including last year. Not only has Hamilton shined here, but he’s in the longest drought of his career in four years, so he’s desperate! Keep it simple people and back the reigning F1 champ to do what he does best – get the outright win!

Pick: Lewis Hamilton