Quaker State 400 NASCAR Betting Preview and Predictions

Posted by Alex Murphy on Saturday,July 11, 2015 11:47, EST in

Following the wild week of NASCAR betting at Daytona, all eyes are now focused on the next circuit at Kentucky Speedway where the Sprint Cup Season will be hosting the Quaker State 400 on Saturday night.

At 1.5 miles long featuring 267 laps of racing with one of the roughest surfaces, Kentucky presents one of the most challenging tracks in NASCAR. In addition, NASCAR decided to institute a new rules package that will feature a shorter spoiler and splitter specifically aimed at creating more passing. Also, everyone will be starting from scratch, which is likely to erase the edge for the pole sitters. As a result, things could be potentially different and unpredictable in regards to who will be leaving the Quaker State 400 with the win.

Quick Look at the Quaker State 400 NASCAR Betting Preview and Predictions

Race Details at a Glance

Track: Kentucky Speedway
Date: Saturday, July 11, 2015
Time: 7:30 PM ET
TV: NBC Sports Network
Laps: 267
Most Wins: Brad Keselowski (2)
Defending Winner: Brad Keselowski
Youngest Winner: Kyle Busch on 07/09/2011 ((26 years, two months, seven days)
Oldest Winner: Matt Kenseth on 06/30/2013 (41 years, three months, 20 days)

Key Competitors in the NASCAR Quaker State 400

Last week at Daytona, a rainy night pushed the race to end on Monday morning, while featuring a host of crashes, including the terrific wreck of Austin Dillon’s car. In the end, the race came down to a fierce battle between Hendrick Motorsport teammates Jimmie Johnson and Dale Earnhardt Jr. Ultimately, Earnhardt (who was the pole sitter in the race) ended up with the victory, his second win of the season that helped him solidify his position up the points standings.

Even so, as far as the four races that have taken place at Kentucky are concerned, Brad Keselowski leads with two wins, followed by Joe Gibbs teammates Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch with once win each. The three past Kentucky winners, alongside the Hendrick teammates, Jeff Gordon and the ever-dangerous Kurt Busch, are thus expected to be among the hottest competitors this Saturday.

Interestingly though, Kevin Harvick has opened the lines for the race as the overall favorite to claim the win on Saturday night. This is probably based on the trend that, in each of last two seasons, the driver that has won at Las Vegas has gone on to win the race at Kentucky. In the case of Harvick, he did not just win at Las Vegas, he blew past his opponents and put in a dominating performance, leading 142 laps of the Vegas race. If the trend stays true, then Harvick (who finished 7th in Kentucky last season and has averaged an 11th-place in four starts at Kentucky) should be able to get the win tomorrow night.

Below are the NASCAR odds to win the race

• KEVIN HARVICK 5/1
• JIMMIE JOHNSON 11/2
• DALE EARNHARDT JR. 15/2
• JOEY LOGANO 17/2
• BRAD KESELOWSKI 10/1
• JEFF GORDON 10/1
• MATT KENSETH 10/1
• KURT BUSCH 10/1
• KYLE BUSCH 10/1
• MARTIN TRUEX JR. 12/1
• DENNY HAMLIN 12/1
• KASEY KAHNE 15/1
• CARL EDWARDS 20/1
• RYAN NEWMAN 30/1
• JAMIE MCMURRAY 40/1
• KYLE LARSON 22/1
• TONY STEWART 50/1
• PAUL MENARD 75/1
• CLINT BOWYER 75/1
• GREG BIFFLE 100/1
• AUSTIN DILLON 100/1
• DAVID RAGAN 150/1
• ARIC ALMIROLA 150/1
• RICKY STENHOUSE JR. 250/1
• A.J. ALLMENDINGER 250/1
• RYAN BLANEY 250/1
• DANICA PATRICK 400/1
• FIELD 150/1

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Prediction

If you are looking for a sleeper pick, then Kyle Larson should be your guy, considering his loose style of driving fits the rough track at Kentucky. Even so, it would take something really special to beat the race’s frontrunners, who are all looking for a poised for a strong race on Saturday.

Earnhardt Jr. was the best driver last week, leading most laps at Daytona and blocking his teammates when need be, earning himself the second win of the season, while also clocking the fastest time, so he should certainly be among the strongest drivers to watch out for.

Johnson, Earnhardt Jr.’s teammate, leads the season with four wins and should have actually been talking of six wins now,. Unfortunately, he fell just short at Sonoma and Daytona, though there’s no doubt that he was great in both races. Considering his knack for performing well at 1.5 mile tracks, it wouldn’t be a surprise if he bounced back with a win on Saturday.

Finally, we have the Busch brothers, Kyle and Kurt, who’ve both overcome a lot of adversities on and off the track to be racing right now. Kurt looks very psyched up for Saturday’s race, and after strong performances over the recent times, he should be good for the win. However, Kyle has looked strongest of the two brothers. After his win at Michigan, Kyle has followed it up with two solid performances at Sonoma and Daytona with top 5 finishes in both races. For that reason, I’d go with him over his brother for the win.

My Betting Verdict

Kyle Busch continues with his strong recent performances to eke out a tight win on Saturday night.