Who’s the NASCAR Betting Favorite to Win the Food City 500?

Posted by Eric Williams on Wednesday,April 11, 2018 3:13, EDT in

Okay NASCAR betting enthusiasts, it’s on to the eighth race of the 2018 season. With the Monster Energy campaign heading to Bristol, Tennessee for the 2018 Food City 500, it’s time for some expert auto racing odds analysis and predictions. With this affair set to get underway on Sunday, April 15 at 2:00 PM ET at Bristol Motor Speedway, let’s get started with a recap of everything that’s gone down so far this season.

Who’s the NASCAR Betting Favorite to Win the Food City 500?

  • When: Sunday, April 15, 2018, 2:00 PM ET
  • Where: Bristol Motor Speedway
  • TV: FOX
  • Live Stream: Fox Sports Go

The Season So Far

Austin Dillon won the prestigious Daytona 500 on Feb. 18 and then, Kevin Harvick went all bonkers by winning the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500, the Pennzoil 400 and TicketGuardian 500 in each of the following three weeks to become just the 29th driver in modern history to win three straight races.

Martin Truex Jr. then snapped Harvick’s winning ways as I predicted by taking the Auto Club 400 and last weekend, Clint Bowyer came up huge at the STP 500 to record his first win since 2012. Last weekend, Kyle Busch got in the winner’s circle for the first time this year by winning the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway.

Now that we’re up to date, let’s take a look at who could win this coming weekend at Bristol.

NASCAR Betting Favorites to Win the 2018 Food City 500

Bristol Motor Speedway is 266.5 miles and features a quartet of short straightaways. The first race was held in 1961 and the race went by several names including the Southeastern 500 and Valleydale Meats 500. Last year’s race was moved to Monday because of rain and was won by future Hall of Fame driver Jimmie Johnson. Former driver Carl Edwards won in 2016 and 2014 and Matt Kenseth won in 2015.

Kyle Busch, who recorded his first win of the season last week at Texas Motor Speedway, leads the NASCAR standings with 316 points with Joey Logano second with 278 points. Ryan Blaney is third with 265 points. Kevin Harvick, who leads all drivers with three wins, is only fourth in points because he was penalized with 20 points at Vegas and also lost some playoff points. Martin Truex Jr., the 2017 NASCAR champion rounds out the top five with 250 points.

Clint Bowyer, who won at Martinsville two races ago, is sixth with 249 points. Brad Keselowski (237 points), Kurt Busch (224 points), Denny Hamlin (222 points), and Kyle Larson (202 points) round out the top 10. Austin Dillon, the only other driver with a win this year (Daytona 500) is 13th in points.

Kyle Busch

He is the favorite and not just because he won last week. Busch has won the Food City 500 three times in his career (2007, 2009, 2011). Busch is also a three-time winner of the summer night race at Bristol. Make note, however, that Busch has finished 38th and 35th at Bristol in the spring race the last two years.

Kevin Harvick

Harvick has never won here, so I’m a bit surprised he’s the No. 2 pick on the board, although he has been the best driver on the circuit this year.

Martin Truex Jr.

Truex Jr. is known as more of a 1.5-mile guy than a half-mile guy and he hasn’t had a top-five finish at Bristol since 2012.

Kyle Larson

Larson led the most laps at Bristol last year in the spring and finished ninth in the summer. However, make note that three of his four wins last year came on two-mile raceways and his only win in 2016 did as well.

Denny Hamlin

Hamlin is known to race well in restrictor plate races and on short tracks. He likes racing in traffic a lot more than other drivers.

Danny Hamlin is among the NASCAR Betting favorites to win the 2018 Food City 500.

He doesn’t have a win here since 2012, but he was third in the summer race in each of the last three years. The spring race hasn’t been as kind to him, but this is a race that suits him fairly well because of the short track.

Joey Logano

Logano was fifth last year in this race and had back-to-back wins in the summer in 2014 and 2015. Logano is also a two-time winner on the small track at Richmond and he fares well in these types of races.

Brad Keselowski

Keselowski won this race in 2012 and finished third in 2013. The veteran has also won the summer race at bristol once and finished second on another occasion.

Rest of the Bunch

  • Chase Elliott 12-1
  • Jimmie Johnson 15-1
  • Ryan Blaney 18-1
  • Kurt Busch 20-1
  • Clint Bowyer 20-1

Expert NASCAR Betting Pick

I’m going against the grain with my pick here and going with veteran Brad Keselowski to get back in the winner’s circle at Bristol for the first time in six years. I know he’s not the favorite, but he’s been driving pretty well this year with a pair of top five finishes and four top 10 finishes. Following Keselowski, I like Kyle Busch and Joey Logano to round out my top three picks!

Top Three: Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano