Who’s the F1 Betting Favorite for the 2018 Australian GP?

Written by on March 24, 2018

After Briton Lewis Hamilton claimed his fourth career Formula 1 Championship last year, and third in the last four years overall, the big question F1 betting buffs are wondering is whether or not anyone can dethrone the now, dominating reigning champ. With the first race of the 2018 F1 Season getting underway this coming weekend in Melbourne, Australia, all eyes will be on the defending champ as the first stage in F1’s record-breaking 21-race global tour gets underway.Thanks to this expert look at the latest 2018 F1 Australian Grand Prix odds, you’re going to have a great idea of just which drivers stand the best chance of claiming the first race of the 2018 F1 season.

Who’s the F1 Betting Favorite for the 2018 Australian GP?

  • Date: 24 March 2018
  • Course: Temporary street circuit
  • Course length: 5.303 km (3.295 mi)
  • Distance: 58 laps, 307.574 km (191.118 mi)

F1 Betting Odds for 2018 Australian GP

  • Lewis Hamilton +100
  • Sebastian Vettel +250
  • Max Verstappen +500
  • Daniel Riccardo +580
  • Valtteri Bottas +580
  • Kimi Raikkonen +2000
  • Fernando Alonso +5000
  • Field (Any Other) +2800

The Course

Adelaide was the destination of choice when F1 first hit Australian shores in 1985. But in 1996, Melbourne – the country’s second biggest city – claimed the race its own. The 16-turn 5.303km circuit is only used once a year and takes place on roads that weave their way around the Albert Park Lake. That means a low grip level. Slippery conditions are to be expected, particularly in Friday practice, until tire rubber gets laid down.The low-grip conditions are one of the factors that make overtaking tricky at Albert Park, though the FIA have tried to offset that this season by adding a third DRS zone. Failed to overtake attempts have led to some spectacular crashes down the years, particularly at Turn 3, which like Turn 1 often sees a bottle-neck on the opening lap.With a lack of long corners making generating tire temperature tricky, Pirelli has gone reasonably aggressive with their tire allocation, bringing the soft, super soft and ultrasoft compounds to Melbourne.

The Drivers

Lewis Hamilton has claimed the pole six times from 11 tries here and his Mercedes team has dominated in recent years. The Silver Arrows have taken four straight poles and won three of the last four races in Melbourne, only failing to achieve a double podium finish once during that time. However, Hamilton has actually only won in Melbourne twice (in 2008 and 2015). Hamilton enters the race on a 25-race point-scoring streak – two races shy of Kimi Raikkonen’s all-time record.Sebastian Vettel, meanwhile, is looking for a little piece of history of his own. If he finishes on the podium he’ll become just the fourth driver in F1 history to collect 100 podium finishes, joining Hamilton, Michael Schumacher and Alain Prost in a very exclusive club.Valtteri Bottas is looking to nail down a hat-trick of pole positions for the first time in his career. Unfortunately, though, Hamilton hasn’t been out-qualified by a teammate in Melbourne since 2010 while Bottas hasn’t out-qualified one Down Under since 2013.Mercedes have been the dominant force since F1 switched to V6 turbo hybrid engines in 2014, winning four consecutive constructors’ and drivers’ world titles. Only McLaren, Ferrari, and Red Bull have achieved that feat before.Lewis Hamilton comes in as the F1 Betting favorite to win the 2018 Australian GP.Only two of the last eight races have been won from pole. Since the race was added to the F1 calendar in 1985, no Australian driver has ever finished on the podium. Daniel Ricciardo came close in 2014, crossing the line in second before being disqualified for a fuel flow misdemeanor.Fourth, then, is the best home finish to date, with Mark Webber achieving the feat in 2012 and Ricciardo in 2016. Neither Max Verstappen nor Daniel Ricciardo has finished on the podium in Melbourne, with fifth and fourth, their respective best results.

Expert F1 Betting Picks

I’m going with Sebastian Vettel for the ‘upset’ win over Lewis Hamilton and everyone else in the opener, just because he’s due – and he’s very, very good. Vettel won here four straight times from 2010-2013 and I believe he’s not finished winning in Australia just yet. I’m going with Hamilton for second and 20017 Australia winner Kimi Raikkonen for third place.

Top Three Finishers

  • Sebastian Vettel
  • Lewis Hamilton
  • Kimi Raikkonen

Last 10 Winners

  • 2017: Sebastian Vettel
  • 2016: Nico Rosberg
  • 2015: Lewis Hamilton
  • 2014: Nico Rosberg
  • 2013: Kimi Räikkönen
  • 2012: Jenson Button
  • 2011: Sebastian Vettel
  • 2010: Jenson Button
  • 2009: Jenson Button
  • 2008: Lewis Hamilton