Floyd Mayweather Massive Boxing Odds Favorite Over Andre Berto

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 12, 2015 in

Current pound-for-pound boxing king Floyd Mayweather Jr. takes an unbeaten record into what he says will be the final fight of his Hall of Fame career Saturday night in Las Vegas. Usually, Mayweather fights are a huge event and draw major betting action but that’s not the case here. That’s because Mayweather should win easily against Andre Berto, with “Money” a -4000 favorite and Berto at +1200 on boxing odds. Plus, no one really believes Mayweather will quit after Saturday night, although his contract with Showtime is up after that.

Floyd Mayweather Massive -4000 Boxing Odds Favorite Over Andre Berto

How Will Mayweather’s Record Favor the Fight Odds?

Mayweather (48-0, 26 KOs) last fought in May and earned a 12-round unanimous decision over Manny Pacquiao, retaining the WBA and super welterweight WBC titles and winning the WBO championship from Pacquiao. That fight shattered all records but turned a lot of casual fans off boxing as opposed to MMA. Mayweather blamed the boring fight on Pacquiao and his inability to land punches. Pacquiao says he was injured during training in the weeks before the welterweight unification bout and had surgery to repair a torn right rotator cuff after the fight.

Why don’t people think Mayweather will quit yet? Most believe he wants to break Rocky Marciano’s career record of 49-0, the best in history. Obviously the 38-year-old Mayweather would need to beat Berto and then one more opponent to do so.

“If you stick around too long, anything can happen,” said Mayweather. “I’m not really worried about losing, but I want to have a sharp mind. You can make a lot of money, but you still want to be able to walk and talk. Number 49 is my last fight.”

Mayweather’s unbeaten streak goes back to 1996, when he joined the paid ranks after winning a bronze medal at the Atlanta Olympics. The 31-year-old Berto (30-3, 30 KOs) last fought in March, scoring a sixth-round TKO over Josesito Lopez, winning the interim WBA welterweight title.

But Andre Berto doesn’t excite anyone. It’s because unlike a more deserving opponent — Keith Thurman, Amir Khan, Kell Brook, Shawn Porter, Timothy Bradley Jr. — Berto has done absolutely nothing to earn the fight. He is 3-3 in his last six fights, including getting knocked out by journeyman Jesus Soto Karass, losing decisions to two guys, Robert Guerrero and Victor Ortiz, that Mayweather beat easily in recent years and getting suspended for testing positive for steroids. Mayweather claimed he picked Berto because he makes exciting fights.

“Berto is going to push me to the limit. That’s one thing I do know,” Mayweather said. “This fight is a very intriguing matchup, very intriguing.”

Even if Mayweather fights again in 2016, the emergence of a suitable opponent could be an issue, because the only reason to continue at that point is for huge financial windfalls and Marciano’s record. There are only three noteworthy possibilities, all extremely fragile: A rematch with Pacquiao; the winner of November’s Saul “Canelo” Alvarez-Miguel Cotto fight (Mayweather already has beaten both); and Gennady Golovkin.

That this fight goes the distance, as nearly all of Mayweather’s do these days, is -185, with not at +160. That Mayweather wins inside distance is +179. Mayweather by decision is -164. Berto by decision is +3600. Mayweather getting knocked down at some point and still winning is +500. Berto winning by KO or TKO is +2140.