Who will win the Emmys for best actor and best actress? As you might expect a couple of thespians on The Crown, Netflix’s show about Queen Elizabeth II, Prince Charles, Diana and the rest, are favorites to win in the drama category. But are Josh O’Conner and Emma Corrin locks to take home the statues? Check out more info on the contenders for best lead actor and best lead actress as well as top picks and secondary picks along with their Emmy Awards odds.
Odds Analysis for the 2021 Best Actor and Best Actress Drama Series Emmy Award
2021 Emmy Awards
- When: Sep. 19, 2021
- TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount+
Best Lead Actor Drama Series
- Josh O’Conner – The Crown -150
- Billy Porter – Pose +250
- Rege-Jean Page – Bridgerton +350
- Matthew Rhys – Perry Mason +800
- Jonathan Majors – Lovecraft Country +1000
- Sterling K. Brown – This Is Us +1500
O’Connor plays Prince Charles. He will be tough to beat because he does a fantastic job, but for our money, Rege-Jean Page is the play.
The star of Bridgerton won’t be back for the second season, which means if Emmy voters hope to reward Rege-Jean, they’ve got to do it this year. He’s excellent in the fun period piece drama, making him our top pick.
Matthew Rhys is our second-choice. Rhys plays Perry Mason in the updated version of the famous show from the sixties. Rhys is good in everything and should have won multiple Emmys for playing Philip in The Americans. He’s a threat every year.
Top Emmy Pick: Rege-Jean Page
Top Second Emmy Pick: Matthew Rhys
Best Lead Actress Drama Series
- Emma Corrin – The Crown -600
- MJ Rodriguez – Pose +500
- Elizabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s Tale +700
- Olivia Colman – The Crown +1000
- Uzo Aduba – In Treatment +1200
- Jurnee Smollett – Lovecraft Country +2000
Based on the odds, Emma Corrin is a lock. We’d love to go against the actress who plays Princess Diana. But that’s tough because unlike Josh O’Conner, many hasn’t landed on any of Corrin’s rivals.
Sometimes it makes sense to follow the money. Other times, it makes sense to go the opposite direction of the money. When it comes to Corrin, we’re following the money. The Crown actress is our top pick.
Which actress can upset Corrin? MJ Rodriguez, Elizabeth Moss, Olivia Coleman, and Uzo Aduba are all worthy contenders. All four actresses have a shot to pull off the upset.
Our thinking, though, is that Jurnee Smollett has the best chance of beating Corrin. Although Smollett is the longest shot on the board, she’s got a real chance to pull off a shocker. Her chances are much better than +2000.
Smollett plays one of the main characters in Lovecraft Country. The HBO Max show is one of 2020’s most nominated. But even though Lovecraft Country is a hit with critics, and has a lot of fans, HBO decided to pull the plug after a single season.
Jurnee Smollett is a fantastic actress. Like what might happen with Rege-Jean Page, Emmy voters may want to give Smollett a statue while they can.
Voters can reward Corrin next year. This year, they may hand it to the biggest underdog actress in the drama category.
Top Emmy Pick: Emma Corrin
Top Second Emmy Pick: Jurnee Smollett