Golf Betting Preview & Expert Prediction: 2018 Valero Texas Open

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,April 17, 2018 3:31, EDT in

With the next stop on the 2018 PGA Tour taking place this coming weekend at TPC San Antonio, Texas for the 2018 Valero Texas Open at AT&T Oaks Course, it’s time for an expert golf betting preview and accompanying pick that could help you cash in big on the 16th tournament on the 2018 calendar year. Don’t forget to check the latest 2018 Valero Texas Open odds before placing your betting ticket.

Golf Betting Preview & Expert Prediction: 2018 Valero Texas Open

  • When: Thursday, April 19, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: TPC San Antonio
  • Format: Stroke play
  • Prize fund: $6.2 million

The Season So Far

Before I get started with my preview of this weekend’s quickly approaching Valero Open, let’s review what’s gone down on the PGA Tour since the start of the new year.

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson bagged the Sentry Tournament of Champions on Jan. 7 in Kapalua, Maui, Hawai’i. The unheralded Patton Kizzire took the Sony Open in Honolulu, Hawai’i the following week before John Rahm won the CareerBuilder Challenge and Jason Day took the Farmer’s Insurance Open in San Diego.

Gary Woodland beat everyone to the finish line to claim the Waste Management Open in Phoenix the following week. Then, Ted Potter Jr. took out everyone to win the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, California. Sweet-swinging lefty, Bubba Watson then claimed the Genesis Open title in Pacific Palisades, California, followed by Justin Thomas’ win at The Honda Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

Three-time Masters winner and five-time major winner Phil Mickelson won the WGC-Mexico Championship at Chapultepec in Mexico City to start March and then Paul Casey took the title at the Valspar Championship at Copperhead in Palm Harbor. Rory McIlroy claimed the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill one week later and then Bubba Watson became the first two-time winner this calendar year by winning the WGC-Dell Technologies in Austin.

Ian Poulter won the Houston Open a week later before Patrick Reed won his first major by claiming the prestigious Masters at Augusta. Most recently, unheralded Satoshi Kodaira won the RBC Heritage at Hilton’s head in a playoff over Si Woo Kim and now, we’re up to date heading into the Valero Open.

Six of the top 30 players in the world rankings will be going at it in the Lone Star State.

The Course

Residing just north of center city San Antonio, TPC San Antonio, Oaks Course, is a 7,435-yard par 72 that was designed by Greg Norman – with the 38-year-old Garcia serving as a consultant on the current course which was constructed in 2010. The course is known for its trick windy conditions and natural vegetation hazards.


31-year-old California native Kevin Chappell won the Valero Texas Open in 2017 by draining an eight-foot birdie putt on the final hole of the tournament to hold off 27-year-old 2017 U.S. Open winner Brooks Koepka who finished one stroke back. The win was Chappell’s first on the PGA Tour and came after a quartet of runner-up finishes during the 2015-16 season.

Now, heading into the 2018 Valero Open, you should know that Chappell has finished 15th or better in three of his last five appearances at the Texas Open including a fourth-place finish in 2016 and his victory a year ago.

While Sergio Garcia is the favorite, he also flamed out very badly at the Masters in his last event, thanks to a pitiful 13 he shot on hole No. 15 that ruined his chances of defending the green jacket he won in 2017. The good news for bettors that like the Spaniard to rebound is that Garcia has recorded a trio of top 10 finishes this year in five tournaments.

Luke List (+2200), Ryan Moore (+2500), Chappell (+2800), Adam Scott (+3000), Billy Horschel (+3300), Brandt Snedeker (+3500) and Chesson Hadley (+4000) round out the rest of the top 10 favorites following Garcia, Kuchar, and Hoffman.

Golf Betting Odds to Win the 2018 Texas Valero Open

  • Sergio Garcia 12-1
  • Matt Kuchar 18-1
  • Charley Hoffman 18-1
  • Luke List 22-1
  • Ryan Moore 25-1
  • Kevin Chappell 28-1
  • Adam Scott 30-1
  • Billy Horschel 33-1
  • Brandt Snedeker 35-1
  • Chesson Hadley 40-1
  • Si Woo Kim 40-1
  • Beau Hossler 40-1
  • Brendan Steele 40-1
  • Jimmy Walker 40-1
  • Zach Johnson 40-1
  • Pat Perez 40-1

The Darkhorse

Iowa native Zach Johnson is a +4000 Golf Betting pick, but he could stun the entire field if you ask me. Johnson, along with Justin Leonard, is the only two golfers to win this tournament in consecutive years this century.

Look for Zach Johnson as the top Golf Betting Dark Horse at the 2018 Valero Texas Open.

Johnson won in 2008 and 2009 while Leonard won back-to-back in 2000 and 2001 while also claiming his third title in 20007.

The ‘Unknown Soldier’

Sure, 2003 U.S. Open winner Jim Furyk isn’t exactly ‘unknown’ but he is making his return at the Texas Open for the first time since 2015 and he’s had good results in the past. The 47-year-old veteran has two top-10 finishes in his three appearances at San Antonio even if the U.S. Ryder Cup captain has finished under par on only once this season with -6 at the Valspar Championship.

My Golf Betting Pick

I’m going to say that Kevin Chappell’s win a year ago was no accident and I believe he’s going to join Johnson and Leonard as back-to-back winners by claiming the 2018 Valero Open title as well, based on his consistent success at this tournament.

With three top-25 finishes in his last four events and no finish lower than 13th in five of his last six appearances in San Antonio, including his win in 2016, I like Charley Hoffman as my No. 2 pick to win.

Last but not least, my third and final pick is for 39-year-old Jimmy Walker, the 2015 winner here. The Oklahoma native finished T-28 at the Valspar Championship and T-20 at the Masters, so he’s trending up in my mind!

Top Three

  • Kevin Chappell
  • Charley Hoffman
  • Jimmy Walker