Top 5 Long Shots to Win The 2021 Masters Expert Analysis

Top 5 Long Shots to Win The 2021 Masters Expert Analysis

Written by on April 7, 2021

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson is the odds on favorite to win consecutive Masters titles (+900) and a handful of other superstar PGA performers are just behind at the top of the odds leaderboard. There’s incendiary 2015 Masters winner Jordan Spieth +1000), Bryson DeChambeau (+1000) and world No. 2 Jon Rahm (+1200).

Just behind the top odds leaders are a slew of other highly regarded players like Patrick Reed (+3300), Viktor Hovland (+3300) and Tony Finau (+3500). Then, there’s a group of players just off the mark at +5000 or better who all look like potential live long shot winners!

Right now, let’s take a look at five such players that I’ve identified as potential upset winners of the 2021 Masters Championship. Let’s find out who they are so you can plan your bets against their Masters odds.

2021 PGA Tour Masters Betting Analysis: The Top 5 Live Long Shots

Odds To Win 2021 Masters Championship

  1. Jason Day +5000

Day is 48th in the Official Golf World Rankings (OGWR). The 33-year-old has made the cut 10 times in 17 events this season with four Top-25 finishes and two Top-10 finishes. The Australian finished T42 in the WGC-Dell Technologies Championships in his last event. Day ranks 63rd in driving distance (300.6), 69th in greens-in-regulation and 51st in scoring average (70.6) and finished T2 in the 2011 Masters for his best finish at Augusta. Day finished third here in 2013, and T5 in 2019, though he missed the cut a year ago. At +5000, Day is worth a long shot wager.

  1. Sergio Garcia +5000

40th in the OGWR, 41-year-old Sergio Garcia has made the cut eight times in 12 events this season with five Top-25 finishes, three Top-10 finishes and one win at the Sanderson Farms Championship in October. More importantly, Garcia is coming off an encouraging T5 finish in the WGC-Dell Technologies Championships last month and a T9 finish in The Players Championship just prior to that. The Spaniard didn’t play in last year’s Masters and missed the cut in two straight years before that (2018, 2019). However, Garcia did manage to win the green jacket in 2017 for his only major and has three other Top-10 finishes at Augusta in his career. Garcia is second in eagles (64.8), 52nd in birdie average (4.06) and 61st in scoring average (70.6). Garcia’s win in 2017 was seriously improbable, but if it happened once, it could happen again. I say, take a shot on Garcia at +5000.

  1. Scottie Scheffler +5000

You might not know it, but the unheralded Scottie Scheffler is an impressive 22nd in the Official Golf World Rankings. In 15 events this season, the 24-year-old Texan has made the cut 11 times with seven Top-25 finishes and three Top-10 finishes. Scheffler finished a modest T54 in last week’s Texas Open, but just prior to that, he finished an encouraging 2nd in the WGC-Dell Technologies Championships. Scheffler has four Top-20 finishes in his last six outings and ranks an encouraging 20th in driving accuracy (67.37%) and 15th in birdie average (4.48). In his first Masters a year ago, Scheffler finished T19. I love Scheffler’s value as a value-packed +5000 player on the rise.

  1. Will Zalatoris +8000

You might not be very familiar with Will Zalatoris, but you should be. The 24-year-old is 45th in the OGWR and makes his Masters debut fresh off of a stellar, five straight finishes of 28th or better with a Top-10 finish for good measure. The Californian finished T28 in the  WGC-Dell Technologies Championships the last time out following a 21st place finish in his first career The Players Championship appearance. Zalatoris ranks 18th in driving distance (307.9), 27th in G.I.R. (70.00%), 35th in eagles and 12th in scoring average (70.0). This kid is super talented and looks like a nearly sure-fire future major winner. At +8000, Zalatoris is a ‘must-bet’ player for me!


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