Because of the coronavirus pandemic, this year’s Derby takes place on September 5. No worries! On May 2, Churchill Downs will run the Kentucky Virtual Derby. Did you ever wonder who would win a race among Secretariat, American Pharoah, Citation, and Seattle Slew? Check out a preview, Kentucky Virtual Derby odds, and free picks for the 2020 Kentucky Virtual Derby!
2020 Kentucky Virtual Derby
- When: Saturday, May 2
- Where: Internet
2020 Kentucky Virtual Derby Odds to Win
- Secretariat +100
- American Pharoah +550
- Affirmed +800
- Citation +800
- Seattle Slew +800
- Count Fleet +1200
- Justify +1200
- War Admiral +1200
- Whirlaway +1200
- Omaha +2500
- Assault +3300
- Gallant Fox +3300
- Sir Barton +3300
At +100, is Secretariat an overlay or underlay?
Most believe that since it’s a digital race anything can happen. But that shouldn’t be the case. Horseplayers all over the world know that the greatest American thoroughbred to ever run is Secretariat. So, unless some random thing happens during the race Secretariat should win 90 of 100 times they run a Virtual Derby.
Favorites in $2,500 claimers at Fonner Park get bet down to below even money, which means Secretariat at even money in any field presents an overlay opportunity.
Can American Pharoah beat Secretariat?
Yes. The Baffert trainee might be the only horse in the race that can. American Pharoah produced a 120 Beyer figure when he won the 2015 Breeders’ Cup Classic. The figure could have been much higher, maybe up to 130.
Secretariat would have scored a 139 when he won the Belmont Stakes. But the Test of Champions is at 1 ½ miles. The Derby is at 1 ¼ miles. Does that mean AP beats Big Red in a stretch duel? Your call.
Which horse among Affirmed, Citation, and Seattle Slew has the best chance of upsetting the favorites?
During his career, Citation ran almost every two weeks. The Iron Horse had a 32-10-2 record from 45 races. On their Top 100 Horses Races of the 20th Century, Bloodhorse Magazine ranked Citation fourth behind Man O’War, Secretariat and Kelso. If the Virtual Derby is legit, Citation should finish no worse than third on Saturday.
Who is the best +1200 choice to win the 2020 Kentucky Virtual Derby?Count Fleet. The 1943 Triple Crown winner won 16-of-21 races. He finished second 4 times and third once. That’s zero off the board finishes in 21 races.
Fleet dominated his competition. We can make a case for either War Admiral or Whirlaway. But Justify lucked into his Triple Crown. That was a bad Belmont field latest Crown winner beat in 2018.
Which underdog at +2500 odds or higher can win the Virtual Run for the Roses?
Save your money. We’re talking the greatest upset in simulated sports history if Omaha, Assault, Gallant Fox, or Sir Barton beats Secretariat, American Pharoah, Citation, Seattle Slew, Affirmed, and Count Fleet.