Derby superfecta payouts can be tremendous. The average payout the past few years has been over $30,000 for $2. This year, Churchill Downs has decided to lower the superfecta cost from $2 to $1. That will make it easier for many of us to play the Derby superfecta on Saturday. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Kentucky Derby for Saturday, May 1. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.
Horse Racing Betting Preview: Kentucky Derby Superfecta and Pick 4
2021 Kentucky Derby
- When: Saturday, May 1, 2021
- Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
Key Horse: 15-Rock Your World
The John Sadler trained and Santa Anita Derby winner has relished his time in Kentucky. Expect Rock Your World to either win the Derby gate-to-wire or right off. He’s the key horse for the 2021 Kentucky Derby superfecta.
Horses to use in the second slot: 1-Known Agenda, 14-Essential Quality, 17-Highly Motivated
Florida Derby runner Known Agenda must make a trip from post-position 1. If jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. can do that, Known Agenda has as much of a shot of finishing second as Blue Grass Stakes winner Essential Quality.
Highly Motivated is the wildcard. Chad Brown trains. So we know the horse will be fit. If he’s good enough, he’s got the talent to win the Kentucky Derby.
Horses to use in the third slot: 1-Known Agenda, 14-Essential Quality, 17-Highly Motivated
Horses to use in the fourth slot: 1-Known Agenda, 14-Essential Quality, 17-Highly Motivated and 19-Soup and Sandwich, 9-Hot Rod Charlie, 8-Medina Spirit, 18-Super Stock, 10-Midnight Bourbon, 11-Dynamic One, 6-O Besos, 7-Mandaloun, 5-Sainthood, 2-Like the King, 16-King Fury, 12-Helium, 3-Brooklyn Strong
We’re pushing the all button for the fourth slot. Too many times a massive longshot, the one horse dropped from the superfecta ticket, rolls across the finish line fourth. Don’t take a chance. Use All in fourth.
Your superfecta ticket should look like this.
15 w/1,14,17 w/1,14,17 w/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14, 16,17,18,19,20
The total cost should be $120 for $1.
If you decide to play a second ticket, put Rock Your World in the second slot. A superfecta ticket with Rock Your World finishing second will look like this:
1,14,17 w/15 w/1,14,17 w/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,18,19,20
Kentucky Derby Day Late Pick 4
The Derby Day late Pick 4 starts in Race 9 and ends with Race 12, the Kentucky Derby. Here’s a simple ticket you can play that won’t break your bankroll.
Race 9 – Grade 2 American Turf Stakes
- 2-Win from Within
- 7-Dyn O Mite
- 13-Scarlett Sky
Race 10 – Grade 1 Churchill Downs Stakes
- 1-Phat Man
- 2-Mind Control
- 5-Tap It to Win
Race 11 – Grade 1 Turf Classic
- 3-Colonel Liam
- 5-Domestic Spending
- 8-Cross Border
Race 12 – Grade 1 Kentucky Derby
- 14-Essential Quality
- 15-Rock Your World
If you play this Pick 4 ticket, it will look like this.
2,4,7,13 w/1,2,5 w/3,4,5,8 w/14,15
The total cost for $1 should be $96.