If you’re an experienced horse racing betting aficionado then you know that there is one question that gets asked every time the second leg of the annual Triple Crown rolls around. Is it safe to bet on the Kentucky Derby Winner to repeat at the Preakness Stakes?
As usual, I’ve done all of the required research to come up with an answer just for you! First however, let me give you a bit of Triple Crown history.
Is The Kentucky Derby Winner To Repeat At The Preakness Stakes?
The phrase “Triple Crown” came into existence because of sportswriter Charles Hatton who came up with it while covering the triumvirate of 1930 wins by Gallant Fox. Prior to that, only Sir Barton had won all three races in the same year and that came 11 years earlier in 1919.
Since then, ten horses have won the Triple Crown with American Pharoah being the last thoroughbred to accomplish the difficult feat in 2015. Two trainers, James (Sunny Jim) Fitzsimmons and Ben A. Jones, have won the Triple Crown on two different champions, while Hall of Fame legend Eddie Arcaro is the only jockey to ride two champions to Triple Crown immortality.
DYK Moment 1
Did You Know that, prior to 1932, the Preakness has been held 11 times before the Kentucky Derby? There have been 17 horses that have won the first two legs of the Triple Crown and failed to win complete the Triple Crown feat by winning the Belmont Stakes. Two of them, Burgoo King in 1932 and Bold Venture in 1936, didn’t run in New York.
Now, let’s move on to the more relevant question of whether you should consider backing the Kentucky Derby winner at the Preakness Stakes. Since 1999, there have been seven horses that have won both, the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness before going on to lose at Belmont with the most recent thoroughbred to do so being California Chrome in 2014.
DYK Moment 2
Did You Know that the Preakness and the Kentucky Derby were run on the same day on May 12, 1917, and May 13, 1922? A year ago, Nyquist won the Kentucky Derby but lost the Preakness as Exaggerator won. In 2013, Orb won the Kentucky Derby but Oxbow won the Preakness. In 2011 Animal Kingdom won the Derby but Shackleford won at Pimlico.
In 2010, it was Super Saver and then Lookin at Lucky. In 2009 Mine that Bird won the first leg of the Triple Crown but Rachael Alexandra won at Pimlico. In 2007 Street Sense couldn’t beat out Curlin and in 2006 Barbaro fell to Bernadini at the Preakness.
Numbers-wise, four of the last 10 winners of the Kentucky Derby have gone on to win the Preakness Stakes, meaning there’s about a 40 percent chance, based on the last decade of races, that the favored Always Dreaming will win the second leg of the Triple Crown.