It looks like the American League Pennant winner will either be the New York Yankees or the Houston Astros. As any MLB handicapper will tell us, though, once the playoffs start, anything can happen. Check out the updated AL Pennant odds as well as analysis and predictions!
2019 MLB AL Pennant Odds and Predictions for Second Half
MLB AL Pennant Odds
- New York Yankees +150
- Houston Astros +170
- Minnesota Twins +450
- Tampa Bay Rays +1100
- Boston Red Sox +1300
- Cleveland Indians +1400
- Texas Rangers +2500
- Oakland Athletics +1800
- A. Angels +7500
- Chicago White Sox +20000
- Seattle Mariners +125000
- Toronto Blue Jays +200000
- Baltimore Orioles +250000
- Detroit Tigers +250000
- Kansas City Royals +250000
Which team among the Yankees, Twins, and Astros is the best bet to win the AL Pennant?
It’s difficult to look past the New York Yankees. As of July 15, the Yankees are 59-33. They’re 5 games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays and 9 games ahead of the Boston Red Sox in the AL East Division. But, the Yankees only rank ninth in pitching. Their starting rotation has a 4.05 ERA. When it comes to batting, NYY ranks sixth with a .265 batting average. The bullpen ranks eighth with a 3.96 ERA. The stats don’t imply the Yankees win the AL.
The stats also throw shade on the Minnesota Twins. The Twins are 58-34 and 6 games ahead of the Cleveland Indians. Minnesota has better stats than the Yankees. The starting rotation has a 3.92 ERA. Also, the Twins hit .271 as a team. But, Minnesota’s bullpen ranks eleventh. That could hurt them come playoff time.
That leaves us with the Houston Astros. The Stros rank fifth in pitching, a 3.94 ERA, fourth in hitting, a .269 batting average, and seventh in bullpen ERA, 3.95. The Houston Astros also have the required experience to win the pennant. Once the playoffs start, the Astros should be very difficult to beat.
Which team among the Rays, Red Sox, Indians, Rangers, and Athletics can win the American League?
Boston, Cleveland, Texas, and Oakland all have a shot to make the playoffs. Once you’re in the playoffs, you can win the pennant. None of those teams have as much of a chance of winning in the playoffs as the Tampa Bay Rays.
If the Rays make the playoffs, they’ll be one of the most dangerous teams in the postseason. Tampa ranks first in overall pitching. Rays’ starters have a ridiculously low 3.35 team ERA. The bullpen is also fantastic. It ranks third with a 3.75 ERA.
Tampa Bay can put together an entire pitching plan in playoff games. The key for the Rays is to make the playoffs. If you like the Rays, back them right now at +1100. There’s still plenty of time for Tampa to overtake the Yankees and win the AL East.
Is there a big underdog that can take the American League Pennant?
The Angels are the only underdog with a puncher’s chance of winning the AL Pennant. If Los Angeles can trade for a viable starting pitcher, someone like Madison Bumgarner, they might have a chance to make the playoffs.
Even with Bumgarner, it won’t be a great chance because the bullpen ranks fifteenth, but at least they’ll have a shot. No other team in the American League: Mariners, Blue Jays, Orioles, Tigers, etc., has any shot of beating the more favored teams. If you want to take a swing for the fences, back the L.A. Angels.