Angels are Slight Favorites at the MLB Odds Against the Red Sox

Posted by Eric Williams on Wednesday,April 18, 2018 3:21, EDT in

After pounding L.A. Angels superstar phenom Shohei Ohtani en route to a monster 10-1 win on Tuesday night in Game 1 of their three-game set, the Boston Red Sox will look to build on their red-hot start, even more, when they square off against the Halos on Wednesday night despite coming in as the MLB odds underdogs.

With both of these ballclubs leading their respective divisions and ranked first and second in most wins right now in the majors, let’s find out where the value lies in this mid-week thriller that features two unbeaten starters!

Boston at Los Angeles MLB Odds & Expert Pick

  • When: Wednesday, April 18, 2018, 10:07 PM ET
  • Where: Angel Stadium
  • TV: FSW, NESN
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Odds: Los Angeles Angels -115 (Over/Under at 8)

The Starters

  • Boston: Rick Porcello – R (3-0) (1.83)
  • Los Angeles: Tyler Skaggs – L (2-0) (1.69)

Why Consider the MLB Odds for the Red Sox?

Why should you consider betting on Boston in this Game 2 matchup? There are three great reasons to bet on the BoSox in this contest. First, Boston is ranked first in scoring by putting up an impressive 6.1 runs per game. Second, the Red Sox are ranked second in team ERA at a stellar 2.82. Last but not least, the BoSox are on fire, having won nine of their last 10 games.

Boston is also ranked second in team batting average (.283), first in OPS (.831), fourth in quality starts (8) and fourth in errors with a minuscule 4. Boston got to Ohtani on Tuesday night, though it should be noted that he exited after two innings and 66 pitches because of a blister. Mookie Betts went 3-for-3 and hit three home runs while leading off the game with a homer of Ohtani.

“The stuff is there,” Betts said of Ohtani. “He’s got it all. But our team, we had a good approach tonight. He wasn’t able to land that splitter for strikes, and we did a good job laying off it and backing him into a corner where he probably had to throw a couple of pitches he didn’t want to throw.”

Boston’s lineup pounded out 15 hits in its fifth consecutive win.

“You’ve got to ride the wave,” Cora said. “We’re playing good baseball, but they don’t even know how many games they’re winning. They just prepare and execute.”

Why Consider the MLB Odds for the Angels?

Why should you consider betting on Los Angeles in this Game 2 showdown?

Well, while Los Angeles is going just 4-3 at home this season, the Halos have a really good starter going for them and they’ve been red-hot in going 8-2 over their last 10 games even after watching their imported phenom struggle on Tuesday night. Ohtani has had on-going issues with blisters the past few months and had a bandage on one of his fingers last week.

“I felt like it would be fine today, (but) in the high intensity of a game, it didn’t hold up too well,” Ohtani said through a translator. “But I’m not going to be at the top of my game every start. When I don’t have my best stuff, I still have to fight through the game.”

Despite what the MLB Odds say, the Angels are not a safe betting pick.

Still, Los Angeles is ranked second to Boston in scoring (6.1 rpg), first in team batting average (.283), second in OPS (.805) and second in home runs (26) even though they’ve been mediocre at best pitching-wise.

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston’s last 9 games
  • LA Angels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
  • LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 6 games at home

Expert Analysis and Prediction

Rick Porcello has been absolute ‘lights out’ in going 3-0 with a stellar 1.83 ERA in 19.2 innings pitched this year. Porcello has thrown 17 Ks and just one walk in three starts.

However, L.A. southpaw Tyler Skaggs is 2-0 with a fantastic 1.69 ERA to go along with 17 Ks and six walks. With two elite pitchers going in this one, I’m going with Boston to get the win because of their superior bullpen. Not only that, but the Angels have struggled at home much more than they have on the road this season.

The Red Sox are a robust 9-2 in the last 11 Wednesday games and 4-1 in their last five in game two of a series. Boston is also 5-0 in Porcello’s last five road starts and 6-1 in his last seven starts overall.

I know the Angels are a near perfect 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 5-0 in Tyler Skaggs’ last five starts and 4-1 in Skaggs’ last five home starts, but again, I think Boston has the big edge when this one goes to the bullpen.

Pick: Boston Red Sox 4 – L.A. Angels 3