Are the Dodgers a Safe Bet in the MLB Lines vs Rockies on Tuesday?

Posted by Jordan Walters on Wednesday,May 23, 2018 10:41, EDT in

Don’t look now, but as of Tuesday the Colorado Rockies have overtaken the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks for first place in the mediocre NL West. The Rockies, though, are MLB lines underdogs for Game 2 of their three-game set at the division-rival Dodgers on Wednesday night.

How to Bet Rockies at Dodgers MLB Lines & Game Info

When: Wednesday, 10:10 PM ET
Where: Dodger Stadium
Probable pitchers (away/home): Kyle Freeland/Kenta Maeda
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Radio: 850 AM (Colorado) / 570 AM (Los Angeles)
Opening MLB Lines: Dodgers -152, Rockies +142 (7.5)

Why Bet on Colorado?

Wednesday’s game concludes a nine-game road trip through the NL West for the Rockies. They will either be going for the series sweep or 2-1 series win after taking the opener Monday 2-1. Carlos Gonzalez drove in the go-ahead run on a pinch-hit single against the Dodgers. Gonzalez ranks tied for fourth among all active players with a .311 batting average vs. the Dodgers. He ranks second in homers (24) and third in RBI (79).

Wade Davis pitched a scoreless ninth to earn his 17th save of the season. Davis struck out one, and he allowed just an infield single to Matt Kemp. Davis is now 17-for-19 on saves this year with a WHIP of 1.03 and ERA of 2.66 ERA in 21 appearances. The Rockies are without former All-Star second baseman DJ LeMahieu due to thumb and wrist injuries.

The Rockies have played 19 games vs. the NL West, but Monday marked the first of 19 meetings with the Dodgers. Colorado has played the Padres 12 times, the Giants four and Arizona three. Going 10-9 last year vs. Los Angeles, the Rockies won a season series over the Dodgers for the first time since 2013 (10-9).

The Rockies’ 82.1 stolen-base percentage ranks first in the National League, third in Major League Baseball. Colorado’s 32 stolen bases are tied for fourth in the NL. The Rockies are 14-for-14 in stolen-base attempts this month. They haven’t been caught since April 29 in the first inning at Miami (Ian Desmond).

Who Will Start on the Mound for the Rockies?

It’s lefty Kyle Freeland (4-4, 3.17) on the mound.  Freeland picked up his fourth win by pitching 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball Friday against the Giants. If the Rockies had an offense, he’d be better than 4-4 right now, but he’s 3-0 this month after going 1-4 in April. Freeland has posted a 1.35 ERA in May, and has allowed just six earned runs combined over his past five starts. Opponents are hitting just .221 against him. The lefty is generating more chases and allowing less contact on pitches in the zone this season, leading to a much-improved 8.2 K/9 rate and 3.0 BB/9 rate (6.2 K/9, 3.6 BB/9 in 2017).

Freeland went 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA (19.0 IP, 9 ER) in four starts as a rookie vs. Los Angeles last season. He was 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (10.0 IP, 6 ER) in two starts at Dodger Stadium.

Why Bet on LA Dodgers?

Are the Dodgers a safe bet in the MLB lines vs Colorado?

Max Muncy hit a solo homer in a loss to the Rockies on Monday for L.A.’s only run. Muncy’s homer came off of German Marquez in the fourth inning to give the Dodgers a brief 1-0 lead and gave Muncy five on the season. He also walked twice, and the first baseman now has his on-base percentage up to .372 to go along with his .535 slugging percentage. A pleasant surprise.

The Dodger bench has proven to be very resourceful for Dodger manager Dave Roberts as the club currently leads the majors with 25 hits by a pinch-hitter and ranks among the National League leaders in pinch-hit average (.272, 3rd), RBI (14, T-1st), OBP (.380, 2nd) and OPS (.749, 3rd). Chase Utley’s.538 batting average (7-for-13) as a pinch-hitter ranks fifth in the majors, while his five RBI is the fourth most in the big leagues.

L.A. remains without three-time Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw. He will throw another bullpen session Wednesday before throwing a simulated game Saturday. He threw his first bullpen session since his biceps injury on Sunday and played catch Monday. The simulated game could be in lieu of a rehab start, and if that’s the case Kershaw could be ready to rejoin the Dodgers’ rotation late next week. Fellow starter Rich Hill is also on the DL with a blister problem. He plans to ask Major League Baseball if he can pitch with his fingertip taped. It would be a surprise if MLB allows it.

Who Will Pitch for the Dodgers on Tuesday?

It’s Kenta Maeda (3-3, 3.89) here. He won last Thursday against the Marlins, allowing just two hits across eight scoreless innings while striking out eight and walking none. After allowing five runs through just 4.2 innings against the Reds in his last start, Maeda bounced back with what was easily his best outing of the season. The right-hander was fantastic vs. Miami, allowing two Marlins to reach base all afternoon while sitting down the final 17 batters he faced. He needed just 96 pitches — 71 of which were strikes — to get through eight innings, marking just the second time in 65 big-league starts that Maeda has completed eight frames.

It was Maeda’s first outing longer than six innings this year and his first win since April 18. It was his first start without a walk this year as he improved his K/BB ratio to 54-to-13 over 44 innings. Maeda had gone 0-2 without a quality start over his previous three outings. While the 30-year-old has now dominated in two starts against the lowly Marlins this season, allowing just one run across 14 innings, he owns a 5.40 ERA across 30 innings in his other seven appearances (six starts, one relief appearance).

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Colorado is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
  • Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Colorado’s last 25 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games at home

Expert MLB Betting Prediction

Take Colorado on the runline here – Maeda hasn’t pitched well against teams not named Marlins — and go under the MLB lines total.