Astros Dominate the MLB Spread for Tuesday Night vs. Mariners

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,June 5, 2018 1:08, EDT in

While the defending World Series champion Houston Astros were expected to once again, be one of the top title contenders in 2018, the same certainly couldn’t be said about the Seattle Mariners seeing as how they finished just under .500 a year ago. However, Seattle has been absolutely phenomenal to start 2018 and enter their series opener against Houston sitting atop the AL West and tied with the Astros and Brewers for the second most wins in all of baseball, but that’s not enough to dominate the MLB spread for Tuesday Night.

Now, with what looks like an absolutely thrilling series against their division rivals set to get underway on Tuesday night, the M’s have plenty of belief they can play with anyone, including the defending champs. If you’re looking to find out which team is offering the best MLB betting value in this intriguing Tuesday night series opener, let’s find out right now.

Seattle (37-22) at Houston (37-24) MLB Spread & Betting Pick

  • When: Tuesday, June 5, 2018, 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park
  • TV: FS-Northwest
  • Radio: Seattle 710 ESPN / Houston 850 AM
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Spread: Houston Astros -130 / Seattle Mariners +120 (Over/Under at 7.5)

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Seattle Mariners 2.10 / Houston Astros 5.50
  • Hits: Seattle Mariners 6.60 / Houston Astros 8.70
  • Walks: Seattle Mariners 1.40 / Houston Astros 4.10
  • Strike Outs: Seattle Mariners 9.60 / Houston Astros 7.20

Starting Pitchers

  • Seattle Mariners: James Paxton – R – (4-1, 3.13 ERA)
  • Houston Astros: Dallas Keuchel – L – (3-7, 3.65 ERA)

Why Bet On The Seattle Mariners?

Why should you consider betting on Seattle? There are a bunch of good reasons why, like the fact that the Mariners are on fire right now, having won four straight games and eight of their last 10 overall. Then there’s also the fact that they probably want some revenge for the three straight home losses they took at the hands of Houston in April.

Another good reason is that the M’s have gone 17-10 on the road this season which is a better winning percentage than Houston’s 18-13 home mark. Last but not least, there’s the fact that Seattle has a really good starting pitcher taking the mound in right-hander James Paxton.

Not only did Paxton go 3-0 in May with a fantastic 1.67 ERA over six starts but he also held Houston to a paltry three hits and one earned run in a 2-1 win in Seattle in April and is 4-3 with a 3.16 ERA in nine career starts against the Astros.

Paxton took a no-decision after allowing two runs on four hits and four walks with five strikeouts in five innings Wednesday vs. the Rangers. Seattle is coming off a three-game sweep of Tampa Bay over the weekend in which they outscored the Rays 9-5 while limiting Tampa Bay to a lone run in each of the final two games of the series.

Why Bet On The Houston Astros?

Why should you consider betting on Houston in this series opener? Well, there’s the fact that the ‘Stros are looking to snap a two-game skid, so they’ve got plenty of motivation, as the MLB Spread suggests.

Then, there’s the fact that Houston is the far better statistical team as they rank sixth in scoring (4.93 rpg) and first in team ERA (2.82), WHIP (1.03), strikeouts (632) and quality starts (46). There’s also the fact that Houston took three of four against Seattle in April while outscoring the Mariners by the combined score of 20-4 over the final three games of a four-game set.

Last but not least, Houston ace left-hander Dallas Keuchel is due for some good luck after he took his seventh loss of the season by giving up four runs on seven hits in five innings in his last start to lose to the Yankees for the second time this year.

The MLB Spread for Tuesday Night are by the Astros side.

“I made the pitches I wanted to and felt good about it, but the results aren’t there,” Keuchel said. “One or two pitches here or there through the first 11 outings is the difference between 3-7 and 7-3. I’m going to keep churning.”

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • James Paxton is 4-3 when starting against Houston with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.110
  • Dallas Keuchel is 8-6 when starting against Seattle with an ERA of 2.72 and a WHIP of 1.013
  • Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Seattle is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Seattle’s last 14 games
  • Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston’s last 11 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction

While Seattle and right-hander James Paxton are both in the midst of a fine season, I’m going to urge you to take the Houston Astros in this contest, seeing as how they’re playing at home, semi-desperate and sending Dallas Keuchel to the mound looking to give him the support he’s been lacking all season long. The Astros have the far more prolific offense and the better bullpen as well.

I know Seattle has gone 13-3 in their last 16 games but Houston is an insane 37-16 in their last 53 home games and 26-10 n their last 36 games against the Mariners. Keep it simple and back the Astros to get the narrow win, including covering the MLB spread.

Score: Seattle Mariners 2 – Houston Astros 4