Astros are Huge Favorites at the MLB Lines Against Athletics

Posted by Henry Watkins on Wednesday,May 9, 2018 11:21, EDT in

It’s one of the oldest clichés in sports, but it’s one that very often seems to ring true. We are, of course, talking about how difficult it is to repeat as a champion. Regardless of the sport, getting to the top of the mountain in consecutive years is incredibly tough. This is especially true in the modern era when the top players routinely jump ship for a bigger payday. Losing just one big player can upset the delicate team balance in a big way, and that’s before injuries start to mess with the MLB lines to win it all.

The Houston Astros are off to a winning start as they look to defend their World Series crown, but they are not really having it all their own way in the early going. They have looked good in this series with the Oakland A’s, as they have come out and won the opening two games of the series, which is why the MLB spread is by their side once again. The A’s will be looking to get over .500 with the win in this one, but they are going to need to be a whole lot better than they were in the first two games of the series.

Houston at Oakland Game Preview & MLB Lines

  • When: Wednesday, May 9 at 3:35 PM EST
  • Where: Oakland Alameda Coliseum, Oakland
  • Starting Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Daniel Mengden
  • TV: ATT SportsNet-SW / NBCSCA
  • Radio: Houston KBME 790 / Oakland 95.7 FM
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Lines: Houston Astros -205 (Over/Under at 8.5)

ODDS FOR 2018 WORLD SERIES POSSIBLE MATCHUPS

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Houston Astros 5.70 / Oakland Athletics 6.00
  • Hits: Houston Astros 9.50 / Oakland Athletics 9.70
  • Walks: Houston Astros 3.60 / Oakland Athletics 3.60
  • Strike Outs: Houston Astros 6.50 / Oakland Athletics 8.60

Why Should you Bet on Houston’s MLB Lines?

At 23-15, the Houston Astros have one of the best records in baseball in the early going, yet there are still some folks who view that record as a bit of a disappointment. If you look at the expected win/loss record posted by ESPN, you will see that the Astros were expected to have 29 wins by this stage of the season. Yes, they are off the pace, but it’s tough to be too disappointed when you consider that Houston is sitting atop the AL West, albeit by the very slimmest of margins. Oddly enough, it has been their play at home that has dragged the Astros down a little, as they are just 10-9 in their own ballpark.

On the positive side of things, the Astros have a stellar +79 run differential, which is far and away the best in the MLB. They will look to improve that by sending Gerrit Cole (3-1, 1.42 ERA) to the mound for this one.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Runs: 4.89
  • Hits: 8.82
  • Walks: 3.76
  • Strike Outs: 8.55

Defense

  • Runs: 2.82
  • Hits: 6.45
  • Walks: 2.58
  • Strike Outs: 10.32

Why Should you Bet on Oakland’s MLB Lines?

The Oakland A’s are in the unenviable position of playing in the AL West, which is shaping up to be the most competitive division in baseball. The good news is that the A’s are holding their own right now, going 18-18 and sitting just 4 games out of first place. They have lost some ground by losing the opening two games of this series, but they can get some of that back by getting the win here.

Oakland comes in as the underdog at the MLB Lines for Wednesday's afternoon.

Those losses mean that the A’s have picked up just one win in five attempts against the Astros this season, so they are certainly up against it in this one. This is a team that can generate runs, but they are going to need to do better than the 4 runs they managed in the opening two games. They are also going to need a strong pitching effort from Daniel Mengden (2-3, 4.30 ERA).

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Runs: 4.47
  • Hits: 8.58
  • Walks: 3.25
  • Strike Outs: 9.19

Defense

  • Runs: 4.83
  • Hits: 9.06
  • Walks: 2.53
  • Strike Outs: 7.83

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Oakland is 57-43 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons
  • Houston is 4-1 against Oakland this season
  • 3 of 4 games in this series have gone Over the Total this season
  • Cole is 0-1 when starting against Oakland with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 0.951
  • Mengden is 0-3 when starting against Houston with an ERA of 7.22 and a WHIP of 1.690

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The last time that Mengden started against the Astros, he didn’t make it out of the second inning in a game that Houston eventually won 11-0. It may not be as large a margin of victory this time around, but I am all in on the sweep.

Score: Houston Astros 7 – Oakland A’s 3