In Game 4 of the 2019 American League Championship Series, the Houston Astros took a commanding 3-1 series lead. Houston sends Justin Verlander to the mound on Thursday night with eyes on their second World Series berth in the past 3 seasons. Will Verlander deliver an Astros’ Game 5 victory? Or, will the New York Yankees send the ALCS back to Houston? See below for the MLB odds, analysis and a free pick for Astros vs Yankees Game 5!
Astros vs Yankees 2019 ALCS Game 5 Odds, Preview & Pick
- When: Friday, Oct. 18 at 8:08pm ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- TV: FS1
- Radio: Yankees / Astros
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
- Moneyline: Astros -145
- Over/Under Total: O/U 7.5
- Clear: 12°C/53°F
- Humidity: 54%
- Precipitation: 1%
- Wind: 10 mph NW
- Cloud Cover: 7%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why the Houston Astros are a good bet on the moneyline?
The Houston Astros are on a roll after a dominating 8-3 Game 4 victory. On Friday night, they send Justin Verlander to the mound. Verlander shrugged off a mediocre performance against the Tampa Bay Rays in the ALCS to deliver a strong one versus the Yankees. He threw 6.2 innings and gave up 2 earned runs off 5 hits. He could be even tougher on NYY on Friday night. Behind Verlander’s arm and hot bats, the Astros have a fantastic shot of winning the AL pennant.
- Runs/G: 5.68
- BA: .274
- OPS: .848
- HR: 288
- SB: 67
- ERA: 3.68
- WHIP: 1.13
- KS: 1671
- Quality Starts: 88
- Errors: 70
Why the New York Yankees are a good bet on the moneyline?
Game 4 got away from the New York Yankees. New York had a chance in the fifth inning to retake the lead against the Astros, but they failed to get past Brad Peacock. After that, things fell apart. With veteran James Paxton on the mound, the Yankees should play a much calmer game on Friday night. Yes, their backs are against the wall, but at any moment New York’s offense can come to life. They pushed Verlander in the first matchup against him. They could push him in Game 5, which might lead to a NYY victory.
- Runs/G: 5.82
- BA: .267
- OPS: .829
- HR: 306
- SB: 55
- ERA: 4.31
- WHIP: 1.30
- KS: 1534
- Quality Starts: 53
- Errors: 102
MLB ALCS Game 5 Betting Trends for Astros vs Yankees
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games
- Astros are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts off 4 days of rest
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 League Championship games
- Yankees are 5-0 in Paxton’s last 5 home starts
- The total went UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games
Astros vs Yankees ALCS Game 5 Betting Analysis
Aaron Boone made a decision in Game 2 that the New York Yankees have yet to get past. The decision wasn’t wrong. But, it didn’t work out for New York. Seeing that he could get a massive 2-0 series lead over the favored Astros, Boone used every reliever he could to get past the Yankees in Game 2.
The gambit didn’t work when Carlos Correa hit a walk-off eleventh inning home run. Since then, Boone has struggled to get his bullpen to be as effective as it was in Game 1 and Game 2. The Houston Astros have taken advantage.
On Friday night, the Yankees have a single shot. Pitcher James Paxton must be great and the bats must exploit Verlander. That won’t happen because the Astros bat .268 against Paxton while Verlander should be even better in Game 5 than he was in Game 2. It’s hard to see the Yankees sending this series back to Texas. The Houston Astros win the 2019 American League on Friday night and march into the World Series against the Washington Nationals.
MLB Free Pick: Houston Astros