Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Lines Prediction

Posted by Alex Murphy on July 1, 2015 in

Tight doesn’t even really begin to describe the division title race in the AL East. There is just a single game separating the first place Orioles and the fourth place Toronto Blue Jays. The Boston Red Sox, who occupy the cellar, are the only team with a sub .500 record, but even they have a chance to haul themselves back into the fight when they play a 4-game series against the Blue Jays. So who has the edge on Thursday night’s MLB odds? Find out in this pro baseball betting preview.

How to Bet on the Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Lines Prediction & Game Info

Time: Thursday July 2nd, 5:07 p.m. ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
National TV: none
Opening line: Boston +138,  Toronto -148

The Toronto Blue Jays (41-38) have the most potent offense in all of baseball, but they have been sputtering a bit of late, at last by their own heady standards. The sad part of these recent struggles is that they finally seem to have solved the bullpen issues that have been plaguing them all season. This isn’t to say that they are totally shutting teams down, but they are limiting the damage well enough to be winning games if they were still scoring at the same rate as they have been all season long. That has not been happening, though, and they are now just 4-6 in their last 10 games. All three of the teams above them are having similar issues, which is why the race is remaining so tight. Matt Boyd (0-1, 5.40 ERA) will get his second start of the season for the Blue Jays on Thursday, and will need to be a whole lot better than he was in his first outing.

There were a lot of people, myself included, who wrote off the Boston Red Sox (36-43) in the past couple of weeks, but they are finding a way to stay alive in a very competitive division. They are 6 games out of first place, but are coming off a series win versus the Tampa Bay Rays, and have now taken the first two games on the road against the Blue Jays. The fact that they have won 5 of their last 6 games while the rest of the division struggles means that they are suddenly part of the conversation again, albeit in a pretty small way. They have not really had any kind of consistency all season long, so it’s hard to believe that they can extend this good streak to any great length. Wade Miley (7-7, 4.38 ERA) will start for the Red Sox in this one.

Key Betting Trends

  • Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games

My Betting Prediction

Miley face the Blue Jays back in early May and was on the receiving end of a bit of a beating. He is a pitcher that seems to save his best efforts for his home appearances, and while I am not totally sold on Matt Boyd, I think the Jays will do enough to get the win here.