You need only take a quick look at the current standings in the MLB to see that the preseason favorites are starting to assert their will as the season progresses. Yes, there are still a few of those favorites playing a little bit of catch-up, but the teams that are doing that, such as the Boston Red Sox, as starting to slip into a higher gear as they find their feet this year. The National League standings are particularly as expected right now, although the battle in the NL East is one that is a little underwhelming at the moment, as there is no one team that seems able to take that division by the scruff of the neck.
The Atlanta Braves will be looking to do that this weekend when they welcome in the Milwaukee Brewers for a weekend series at SunTrust Park. Both teams are sitting in second place in their respective divisions, so they will both be looking at this as an opportunity to get on a roll and close the gap at the top. The Braves are favored by 1 ½ for this one, with the run total set at 9.
Brewers vs Braves MLB Odds, Game Info & Prediction
- When: Saturday, May 11 at 7:20 PM EST
- Where: SunTrust Park, Atlanta
- Starting Pitchers: Chacin vs. Fried
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: 680 The Fan
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Atlanta Braves -140 (Total 9.5)
Why bet on the Milwaukee Brewers?
The Milwaukee Brewers may be trailing the Chicago Cubs in the NL central right now, but at just a half-game back, they are well within striking distance. The Brewers head into Atlanta on a very positive run of form, having won 3 in a row and 7 of their last 10 games. This will be game #8 for the Brewers on their current road trip and they will be looking to improve on the 4-3 SU record that they have posted through the first 7 games.
That little run has taken them to 11-11 SU overall on the road this season, so definitely room for improvement. This will be the first game against Atlanta this season for the Brewers, but against other teams from the East, they are 11-2. As a road dog, Milwaukee is 10-8 ATS. They will send Jhoulys Chacin (3-4, 4.57 ERA) to the mound on Friday.
- Runs: 4.89
- Hits: 8.46
- Walks: 4.04
- Strike Outs: 9.67
- Runs: 4.50
- Hits: 8.33
- Walks: 3.65
- Strike Outs: 9.20
Why bet on the Atlanta Braves?
The Atlanta Braves are slowly but surely closing the gap that the Phillies have built at the top of the NL East, as they now are just 1 ½ games back. They got there by taking back to back games against the St. Louis Cardinals to take that series, although those victories have taken the Braves to just 5-5 in their last 10 games.
The Braves are now 2 games over .500 at 23-21 on the season, which includes a 12-11 record in their own ballpark. Of late, the Braves have been a very good pick against the spread, covering in back to back games and in 5 of their last 6. As a home favorite, though, they are still just 8-10 ATS. It will be Max Fried (5-2, 3.25 ERA) who gets the nod in this one.
- Runs: 4.84
- Hits: 8.82
- Walks: 3.75
- Strike Outs: 8.23
- Runs: 4.80
- Hits: 8.25
- Walks: 4.18
- Strike Outs: 8.61
Brewers vs Braves MLB Betting Trends
- Brewers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 games on the road
- Braves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games against Milwaukee
- Braves are 58-52 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons
- Brewers are 27-19 against the money line in all games this season
- Chacin is 2-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.513
- Fried is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 12.00 and a WHIP of 2.333
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Brewers vs Braves
I think that the best bet here is the Brewers against the spread, as I think that this is a close one that could go either way. I am going with the Braves to win a tight one.
Score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 – Atlanta Braves 4