Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds Preview

Posted by Alex Murphy on Friday,July 17, 2015 9:58, EDT in

The Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs begin a three-game series at Turner Field on Friday night in the first meeting of the season between the clubs. They also begin the second half likely with very different agendas the rest of the way. The Cubs -124 favorites on sportsbook odds for Friday’s opener with a total of 7.

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds Preview & Game Info

Time: Friday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Venue: Turner Field, Atlanta
National TV: none
Opening line: Cubs -124, Braves +114 (7)

The Braves got their record back to .500 when they won six of the first seven games played in July. But they ended the break having dropped five straight and are 42-47, seven games behind Washington in the National League East. Most expect the Braves to be sellers ahead of the July 31 trade deadline. The Cubs are 47-40 and eight games behind St. Louis in the NL Central. They aren’t going to catch the Cards there, but Chicago does hold down the second wild-card spot so expect the team to add a starting pitcher ahead of the deadline. The Braves and Cubs aren’t a match in that regard, however.

Atlanta will open the break without its best hitter, first baseman Freddie Freeman. He has been out of the lineup since June 17 due to a bone bruise in his right wrist. He is making progress, however, and might be back the first week of August. Originally, the team was hoping he would return on Friday. With the club now falling out of contention, the team will be very cautious not to jeopardize Freeman’s future value by rushing him back too soon.

The resurgent Cubs sent two players to Tuesday’s All-Star Game in first baseman Anthony Rizzo and third baseman Kris Bryant. Rizzo has been the team’s MVP thus far. Bryant is in a bit of a rookie funk. Since hitting a pair of home runs off Clayton Kershaw on June 22, Bryant has batted .220 with only two homers (both on July 4).

Atlanta starts right-hander Julio Teheran (6-4, 4.56) here and he has been a bit disappointing this season. He was very good in his final two starts before the break. On July 3 vs. the Phillies, he didn’t allowed an earned run over seven innings, giving up seven hits. On July 8 at Milwaukee, he allowed three earned on just two hits over seven innings, striking out eight. Both hits against Teheran left the yard, home runs No. 15 and 16 allowed by him this season (108.2 innings). He gave up 22 homers in 221 innings a year ago. Teheran has posted a 6.95 ERA in 10 road starts, but he 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA in eight home starts. Rizzo is 2-for-12 with a homer off him. Starlin Castro is just 1-for-11.

It’s Kyle Hendricks (4-4, 3.55) for Chicago. Hendricks did not allow a run in the 20 1/3 innings he compiled during his final three starts before the break. Hendricks says he’s simplified things. This will be his first career start vs. the Braves but two current Atlanta players  have seen him while with other teams. Nick Markakis is 0-for-2 with a strikeout and A.J. Pierzynski is 1-for-2 with a double.

Key Betting Trends

Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Chi Cubs is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

My Betting Prediction

Like how Hendricks is going and still no Freeman, so Cubs and under it is.