Cubs are MLB Betting Favorites in Friday Night’s Game vs. Brewers

Posted by Jordan Walters on Friday,April 6, 2018 8:31, EDT in

One of the best rivalries in the National League this season should be the Chicago Cubs, the two-time NL Central champions and favorites to win a third, against the rising Milwaukee Brewers, their neighbors about 90 miles north. They play Game 2 of a four-game set at Miller Park on Friday night. The Cubs are the MLB betting favorites at -140 to win in tonight’s game.

How to Bet Cubs at Brewers MLB Betting Odds & Game Info – April 6th

When: Friday, 8:10 PM ET
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee
Probable pitchers (away/home): Kyle Hendricks/Brandon Woodruff
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream: MLB.tv
Radio: 720 AM (Chicago) / 620 AM (Milwaukee)
Opening MLB Betting Lines: Cubs -140 (9)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: -2°C/28°F
  • Humidity: 44%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 13 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 7%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Cubs are 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
  • Cubs are 4-1 SU in the last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games
  • Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games at home
  • The total went UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 17 games

Why Bet on Chicago?

The Cubs are an early disappointment as they just aren’t hitting, held to one run or fewer three times entering this series against not exactly great Marlins and Reds pitching. In Thursday’s series opener, Manager Joe Maddon shook things up a bit with Kyle Schwarber and Jason Heyward both getting the night off against a lefty. Ian Happ homered on the first pitch he saw on Opening Day, but he’s 1-for-15 with 10 strikeouts since entering Thursday. He might lose his spot as leadoff hitter.

After striking out 11 times in the team’s 1-0 loss to the Reds, the Cubs totaled 58 strikeouts through their first five games, an NL record. Last Friday, they struck out 20 times in a 17-inning game against the Miami Marlins. Happ set a franchise mark by striking out multiple times in each of his first four games of the season.

New hitting coach Chili Davis — who was let go by the Red Sox after last season — was supposed to tone down the swings-and-misses and increase success in situational hitting, but the Cubs are just 1-for-14 so far bringing a runner home from third base with less than two outs. That’s by far the worst percentage in baseball for any team with five or more opportunities in that situation.

The Cubs go with Kyle Hendricks here. Hendricks pitched well in a no-decision against the Marlins last on Friday, surrendering just one run on four hits over his six innings of work. The right-hander walked three and struck out five on the night. The only blemish against him was an RBI single by Starlin Castro in the third inning. While he pitched well enough to win, the Cubs’ offense was unable to provide the requisite run support. He’s 4-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight career starts at Miller Park.

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

Are the Brewers a safe bet vs. the Cubs?

The Brewers could be without their big offseason acquisition, former Marlins All-Star outfielder Christian Yelich, for a while. On Wednesday, he was removed in the seventh inning because of right oblique stiffness. Yelich slid hard into the side wall making a catch in the tiny patch of foul territory there in the sixth inning but said that had nothing to do with the oblique issue. Obliques can be tricky things for baseball players because of the torquing they do to their torso, both swinging a bat and throwing the ball.

Yelich leads the team in runs scored with six and is hitting .385/.407/.577 in the second spot in the lineup. Domingo Santana seems likely to become a regular in the lineup in Yelich’s absence. The Brewers could decide to put Yelich on the DL even if the injury is deemed minor just to make sure it doesn’t get worse. Oblique injuries can linger for weeks. Yelich didn’t play Thursday.

The Brewers are without catcher Stephen Vogt due to a shoulder injury. He has made progress and will start throwing as soon as later this week. Vogt will either start throwing later this week or the beginning of the next as he’s been cleared by doctors to begin a program. He still won’t be able to return until next month at the earliest.

It’s Brandon Woodruff on the mound. No. 3 on MLB Pipeline’s list of Brewers prospects, Woodruff made eight MLB starts last year and beat Junior Guerra for the fifth starter spot coming out of camp. Woodruff’s Major League debut last year was delayed when he suffered a pregame hamstring injury on June 13 in St. Louis, but he returned in August and went 2-3 with a 4.81 ERA in eight starts amid Milwaukee’s postseason push. He had a 7.11 ERA in five Cactus League games (two starts) this spring.

The Brewers have not had a winning season series against the Cubs since going 13-6 in 2013. Ryan Braun needs just 5 RBI for 1,000 in his MLB career. His 995 RBI since 5/25/07 (his MLB debut) leads all players in the National League (5th in MLB).

Expert MLB Betting Prediction

 

Looks to be a pitching mismatch so back the Cubs on the runline.