Expert MLB Betting Pick on Washington at Atlanta

Posted by Alex Murphy on July 1, 2015 in

There is nothing more disheartening to the other teams in a division than when the team that is expected to win it all finally starts to show what they are made of. That is exactly what is happening in the NL East right now as the Washington Nationals start to flex their muscles and open up a gap at the top. The Nats are in Atlanta right now with an eye on extending their ever growing lead over the flagging Braves. The final game in the series is set for Thursday’s MLB betting thrill.

Taking a Look at the Expert MLB Betting Pick on Washington at Atlanta & TV Info

Time: Thursday July 2nd, 5:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia
National TV: none
Opening line: Washington -128, Atlanta +118

There is no two ways about it, the Washington Nationals (43-34) are absolutely red hot right now. They have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games and are executing to the highest level on offense and defense. They have opened up a 3.5 game lead at the top of the division, and have almost single-handedly snuffed out any challenge that the Braves may have hoped to make. Washington has faced the Braves 4 times in the past week, and have won them all, giving up only 2 runs in the process. This is actually indicative of how well the Nats have been playing of late, and a lot of credit has to go to the pitching staff who are finally starting to put up the sort of numbers we all believed they would. Max Scherzer (9-5, 1.79 ERA) will get the start for the Nats on Thursday, and yet he has been as good as his numbers suggest.

You have to feel a little bit of sympathy for the Atlanta Braves (36-41) right now. Not only have the schedule gods set them up to run into teams on fire at the moment, they also have to face them without their best slugger, Freddie Freeman, who will be out until after the All-Star Break. Where the Braves are at right now is where they were pretty much expected to be, but up until a week or two ago, this was a team that was surprising a lot of people who had them written off before the season began. Had they been able to be at or just above .500 right now, they may well have been in the market for a few guys at the trade deadline, but this recent slump makes you believe those thoughts are now being dismissed. Manny Banuelos is scheduled to make his first start for the Braves on Thursday.

Key Betting Trends

  • Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
  • Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games

My Betting Prediction

The best pitcher in baseball right now versus a guy making his first start seems like a total mismatch. This is one that Washington should win going away.