Free MLB Betting Pick on Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins

Posted by Alex Murphy on Wednesday,July 29, 2015 3:07, EST in

There are few things more frustrating than playing in a division where one team is totally dominant. Even when you are playing good ball and winning games, it can still feel as though you are fighting a losing battle.  That is the situation that the Minnesota Twins find themselves in, and they will be trying to get their mojo back when they welcome in the Seattle Mariners for a 4-game series starting on Thursday where they happen to be the MLB odds favorites.

Quick Analysis on the Free MLB Betting Pick on Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins & TV Info

Date/Time: Thursday, 8:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
TV: ROOT SPORTS
Radio: 710 ESPN
Opening Line: Twins -132, Mariners +122 (8.5)

The Twins (52-47) have the unenviable task of trying to play catch up with the red hot Kansas City Royals. While the Royals just continue to find ways to win, Minnesota has gone into a tailspin that has seen them go just 3-7 in their last 10 games. The gap at the top of the division has now stretched to 9 games, and the Twins now really have to think about getting prepared for a Wild Card fight. The good news for the Twins is that they are very much in that picture, and hold a 2-game lead over the Orioles for the second spot.

One of the biggest issues for Minnesota is that they seem to struggle against the better teams in the league, with most of their wins coming against teams with sub .500 records. That is something that will need to be rectified if they want to stay in the playoff picture. Phil Hughes (9-6, 3.93 ERA) will get the start for the Twins, who have won 7 of the last 8 games Hughes has started.

The Seattle Mariners (46-55) have a similar predicament to the Twins in that they are in a division being dominated by not just on, but two, rivals, the LA Angels and Houston Astros. The Mariners are 10 games out in the division, and also have a 7-game deficit to overcome in the Wild Card standings. Making it into the playoffs via the latter route seems almost as impossible as getting in via the division, as there are just too many teams ahead of them right now. While the offense has come to life for Seattle in the second half, they are still losing more games than they are winning, which means they continue to lose ground with time beginning to run out. J.A. Happ (4-5, 4.27 ERA) will get the start. The Mariners have lost each of the last 4 games that Happ has started.

Key Betting Trends

Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

The Minnesota Twins always seem to rise to the occasion when Phil Hughes is on the mound, and I like that trend to continue on Thursday.