Indians at Brewers MLB Lines & Betting Pick – May 9th

Posted by Jordan Walters on Tuesday,May 8, 2018 7:24, EDT in

Anyone for an Indians-Brewers World Series? Not exactly likely this fall but it’s possible as the Indians should win the AL Central again and the Brewers are good enough to make the NL playoffs as a wild-card team. The two clubs wrap up an interleague series in Beer Town on Wednesday afternoon with the Tribe as road MLB lines favorites.

How to Bet Indians at Brewers MLB Odds & Game Info

When: Wednesday, 1:10 PM ET
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee
Probable pitchers (away/home): Carlos Carrasco/Junior Guerra
TV: MLB Network
Stream: MLB.tv
Radio: 1100 AM (Cleveland) / 1310 AM (Milwaukee)
Opening MLB Lines: Indians -145, Brewers +135 (8.5)

Why Bet on Cleveland’s MLB Lines?

The Tribe will lose the DH in this interleague game in the National League park. That’s usually slugger Edwin Encarnacion, but he’s one of the top home-run hitters in the American League so he probably will play at first base – although this is a day game after a night one so a few regulars could sit.

Cleveland visits Miller Park for their first regular-season contests against the Brewers since the 2015 campaign. The two games in Milwaukee will serve as the first half of the clubs’ season series, with the Brewers traveling to Cleveland for another two-game set on June 5 & 6.

The Cleveland bullpen had been amazing but has taken some hits lately. Set-up man Andrew Miller remains out with a hamstring injury but should be activated off the DL on Friday. Closer Cody Allen picked up a loss and a blown save while allowing three runs against the Yankees on Sunday. Allen gave up four hits in just 2/3 of an inning. The normally reliable Allen has now given up runs in three of his last five appearances, and his ERA has ballooned to 3.60 in the process.

Indians relievers allowed eight earned runs in 4 2/3 innings (15.43 ERA) is the weekend series. The Yankees hit .522 (12-for-23) and drew six walks in the series against the Tribe’s bullpen. GM Chris Antonetti says he’s not going to make a trade just because of the issues. He’s going to wait for Miller to return and for guys like Allen (2-1, 3.60), Dan Otero (0-1, 5.52), Zach McAllister (0-2, 9.00) and Tyler Olson (0-1, 7.15) to pitch better.

Who Will Take the Mound for the Indians?

It’s No. 2 starter Carlos Carrasco (4-1, 3.95) here. Carrasco allowed six runs on nine hits — including a homer — while striking out seven over 5.1 innings in the first game of Thursday’s doubleheader against the Blue Jays. He issued three walks and did not factor into the decision. The Indians went off for seven runs in the fourth inning, taking Carrasco off the hook for the loss. Carrasco has now given up 10 runs in his last two starts (8.1 innings), but he was on a dominant run before that (2.31 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 28:6 K:BB in his first five outings).

Why Bet on Milwaukee’s MLB Lines?

Are the Brewers a secure bet on Wednesday?

Catcher Stephen Vogt could be facing season-ending shoulder surgery. Vogt suffered a right shoulder strain in the middle of spring training and then experienced a significant setback last week while on a minor league rehab assignment with Double-A Biloxi.

All-Star closer Corey Knebel is likely to be activated from the disabled list Wednesday. Knebel has already joined back up with the Brewers at Miller Park after making three scoreless rehab appearances at Double-A Biloxi. The 26-year-old right-hander should return to the ninth-inning role for Milwaukee after maybe one or two lower-leverage outings. He’s been sidelined since April 5 because of a severe hamstring strain.

Entering Tuesday, the Brewers were 9-8 at home, going 2-3-0 in series play. After a 2-8 start, the Brewers have gone 7-2 over their last 9 home games. The team went 46-38 at home last season, going 14-9-4 in series play. The Brewers are 154-177 all-time during interleague play (since 1997), including 2-0 this season.

The Brewers have been shut out a Major League-high seven times, including Sunday vs. Pittsburgh. The team was shut out eight times all of last season. The team has gone 4-8 (.333) in day games, which is tied for 24th in the majors.

Who Will Start Things Off for the Brewers?

It’s Junior Guerra (2-2, 2.33) on the bump. Guerra lost Friday after allowing five runs on six hits (two homers) and four walks with four strikeouts in five innings against Pittsburgh. Guerra had yielded just two runs over 22 innings through his first four starts of the season with no homers allowed, but he couldn’t sustain that level Friday. Corey Dickerson took him deep in the third on a blast Statcast measured with a 107.3 mph exit velocity. It was one of three balls Guerra allowed with an exit velocity greater than 107 mph. Guerra has never faced Cleveland.

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Cleveland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland’s last 12 games
  • Milwaukee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee’s last 13 games

Expert MLB Betting Prediction

Carrasco hasn’t been sharp the past two times out but the Brewers don’t know him well. Take Cleveland.