LA Dodgers at Washington Nationals Baseball Betting Pick

Posted by Alex Murphy on Friday,July 17, 2015 9:35, EST in

Major League Baseball’s second half begins on Friday and the clear series of the weekend is between National League East-leading Washington against the top team in the NL West, the Los Angeles Dodgers. It would surprise no one if these teams meet again in October. I believe they will as I fully expect each team to take its division. There is no opening line on the game due to Washington not yet naming its pitcher, but there will be live betting with it televised on the MLB Network.

A Quick Look at the LA Dodgers at Washington Nationals Baseball Betting Pick & TV Info

Time: Friday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
National TV: MLB Network
Opening line: Washington -120

Washington (48-39) leads the East by two games over the Mets and is a huge -1200 favorite to win that. The Nats are +375 to win the NL pennant for the first time in franchise history. The Dodgers (51-39) lead the West by 4.5 games over San Francisco. They are -1200 as well to win their division and also +375 to win the pennant. These powerhouses haven’t met yet this season. The Nationals will visit Los Angeles from Aug. 10-12. Friday is the start of a 10-game road trip for the Dodgers, all against teams from the NL East. It’s the start of a six-game homestand for Washington, which has won nine of its last 11 at home. The Nats remain without four every-day regulars who are on the disabled list: Anthony Rendon, Jayson Werth, Denard Span and Ryan Zimmerman. Pitcher Stephen Strasburg is there as well.

The sportsbooks have updated player awards odds at the break and to no surprise Washington All-Star outfielder Bryce Harper is the -200 favorite for his first NL MVP Award. Harper is second in the National League in average (.339), second in homers (26) and fourth in RBIs (61). Believe it or not, those homer and RBI numbers are already a career high. Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke, who leads the majors with a 1.39 ERA and started Tuesday’s All-Star Game, is the +120 favorite for the Cy Young.

Speaking of the Cy Young, three-time winner Clayton Kershaw starts Friday’s opener for L.A. Kershaw threw 22 pitches in his one inning of work in Tuesday’s NL loss in the All-Star Game and he took the defeat. Kershaw (6-6, 2.85) closed the first half of the season very strong, shutting out the Phillies in a complete game, allowing eight hits and whiffing a season-high 13. That snapped his five-start winless streak. Harper is 1-for-6 with a solo homer in his career off Kershaw. Ian Desmond, who is really struggling this season for the Nationals, is 3-for-23 with seven strikeouts.  Danny Espinosa is 1-for-10 with five strikeouts.

As of this writing, Washington hasn’t announced its starting pitcher. It would be All-Star Max Scherzer’s turn in the rotation as he pitched Sunday, beating the Orioles by allowing two runs and four hits over 8.2 innings. He didn’t pitch in the All-Star Game. Hopefully it is Scherzer (10-7, 2.11) as that would make a great matchup against Kershaw. Of course Scherzer won the 2013 Cy Young Award in the American League with Detroit and is the second-favorite to the Dodgers’ Zack Greinke to win the 2015 award in the NL.

Key Betting Trends

Washington is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games at home
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

My Betting Prediction

Obviously have to wait on Washington’s starter. If it’s Scherzer, go Nats. Under no matter who it is even though the total will be low.