MLB Lines & Expert Betting Preview: Orioles at Angels

Posted by Jordan Walters on Tuesday,May 1, 2018 6:25, EDT in

The Baltimore Orioles were originally set to face Angels rookie pitcher and Japanese two-way sensation Shohei Ohtani on Wednesday night in Anaheim. However, due to a minor injury, Ohtani won’t be on the mound. He should, though, be in the lineup at DH. The Angels are slight home MLB lines favorites.

How to Bet Orioles at Angels MLB Lines & Game Info

When: Wednesday, 10:07 PM ET
Where: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
Probable pitchers (away/home): Dylan Bundy/Andrew Heaney
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream: MLB.tv
Radio: 105.7 FM (Baltimore) / 830 AM (Los Angeles)
Opening MLB Lines: Angels -133, Orioles +123 (8.5)

Why Bet on Baltimore?

Orioles manager Buck Showalter says that the club is working with Chris Davis to get him back on track at the plate. After hitting .215 with 26 homers and a .732 OPS over 128 games last season, Davis is struggling with a miserable .167/.257/.256 batting l this year. He’s just 1-for-18 with 12 strikeouts against southpaws.

While Showalter didn’t get into specifics about what they are working on, Davis got Saturday and Sunday off with left-handers Francisco Liriano and Daniel Norris on the hill for Detroit. Davis is making $23 million this season and still has $92 million owed to him from 2019-2022 in his franchise record deal with the O’s.

On Tuesday, the team activated Mark Trumbo from the disabled list. Trumbo, 32, has yet to play so far in 2018 after being sidelined with a quadriceps strain in Spring Training.

The Orioles rank 12th in the AL in adjusted OPS, ahead of only the Royals, Rangers and Indians.  Trumbo may inject some life into the Orioles lineup — he has 201 home runs and a .461 slugging percentage for his career. He put his prodigious power on full display in 2016, clubbing a league-leading 47 home runs and earning Silver Slugger honors as the AL’s top designated hitter. However, in 2017, Trumbo tied a career low by hitting .234, but also added 23 HRs and 65 RBI in 146 games. He is expected to see time as the designated hitter, in right field, and as the right-handed compliment at first base to 1B Chris Davis.

Who Will Start for Baltimore on Wednesday?

It’s ace Dylan Bundy (1-3, 2.97) on the mound here. Bundy lost after allowing eight runs (seven earned) on 11 hits and a walk with four strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings last Thursday against the Rays. Thursday’s outing was by the worst of the young season for Bundy, who had entered the day with a 1.42 ERA and a 40-to-9 K/BB ratio in five starts.

Even with the ugly showing, Bundy still owns a 2.97 ERA and excellent rate stats (10.9 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9) across 36 1/3 innings.  Bundy is tied for eighth in the AL with four quality starts this season. Orioles starters have received just 53 runs of support this season, which ranks fewest in the majors.

Baltimore leads Los Angeles in the all-time series, 357-302, with the Orioles going 190-135 at home and the series is even 167-167 in Anaheim.

Why Bet on LA Angels?

Are the Angels a safe bet vs. the Orioles?

Ohtani will instead pitch this weekend after suffering a sprained ankle during last Friday’s loss to the Yankees. “We’re targeting Shohei to pitching somewhere on the weekend in Seattle, just to make sure this is behind him and he gets the proper workout to test it more, instead of rushing him and trying to see where he is on Wednesday,” Angels manager Mike Scioscia said. “It’s the best course of action for Shohei and for us.”

Ohtani, 23, is 2-1 with a 4.43 ERA thus far this season as a pitcher. He won his first two major league starts against Oakland but went just two innings because of a blister against Boston and gave up four runs in 6 1/3 innings last Tuesday at Houston.

Earlier this year, Ohtani became the first player to bat fourth in the same season he made 3+ starts since Don Larsen for the 1961 Kansas City A’s. Ohtani was the first A.L. player to homer in three straight games in the same season that he started a game as a pitcher since Babe Ruth (five times; 1918-1921, 1930).

Albert Pujols is on the verge of joining the 3,000-hit club. When he reaches the mark, he will be just fourth player in MLB history with at least 3,000 knocks and 600 HRs joining Hank Aaron, Willie Mays & Alex Rodriguez. He will also join group of four players with 3,000 hits, 450 homers and 600 doubles (Hank Aaron, Carl Yastrzemski, Adrian Beltre & Stan Musial).

Who Takes the Mound for the Angels?

It’s lefty Andrew Heaney (0-1, 6.91) on the mound. Heaney got a no-decision in the Angels’ 4-3 loss to the Yankees last Friday, giving up two runs (one earned) on five hits with nine strikeouts and one walk over five innings. Heaney’s third start of the year was his best, as he limited New York’s potent offense while recording nine of his 15 outs via strikeouts.

A total of 65 of his 94 pitches went for strikes as he rebounded from a pair of shaky outings to begin the season, especially after allowing three home runs in his last start. Heaney now holds a strong 22:4 K/BB ratio through 14 1/3 innings this year, which suggests his 6.91 ERA will continue to improve going forward.

Latest MLB Lines Trends

  • Baltimore is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 games
  • Baltimore is 3-12 SU in the last 15 games
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Baltimore’s last 9 games on the road
  • LA Angels are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games
  • LA Angels are 1-4 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of LA Angels’s last 8 games

Expert MLB Betting Prediction

The Angels are clearly the better team but Bundy is the superior pitcher here. Take the Birds in a minor upset.