Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Game Preview & MLB Odds

Posted by Alex Murphy on July 8, 2015 in

The number of games that a team sits off the pace can be a little deceiving if you take into account the division that they are playing in. The Miami Marlins are 11 games back in the NL East and look to be totally done. The Boston Red Sox are 6 games out in the AL East, but that division has been so unpredictable all year that they might as well just be a game out. These two teams will hook up in Boston for a short 2-game interleague series, with the second game set for Wednesday night, with the Red Sox as favorites in the sports betting odds.

Closer Look at the Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Game Preview & MLB Odds

Time: Wednesday July 8th, 5:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
National TV: none
Opening MLB Odds: Miami +133, Boston -143

I’ll be the first to admit that I had the Boston Red Sox (39-45) written off and ready to go on a fire sale come the trade deadline, but they have slowly but surely worked their way back into the division race. Yes, they are still 6 games out of first place and the only team in the division with a sub .500 record, but none of the other 4 teams in the AL East are putting together any sort of winning streak. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and are slowly but surely making an inroads into the deficit. If they can get something out of this series, they have a chance to really make a move in the final 3 games of the first half, as they will be facing the New York Yankees. How that series turns out will have a major impact on what they do at the trade deadline. Rick Porcello (4-9, 6.08 ERA) will start for Boston on Wednesday. Porcello has lost 7 of his last 8 starts, with a no-decision in the other.

At this stage in the season, there really does not appear to be any way back for the Miami Marlins (35-48). They are 11.5 games back of the Washington Nationals, and will be without the services of Giancarlo Stanton, who won the player of the month award for June. He is still a few weeks away from making a return, which means that the Marlins will likely be shipping some guys out of town when the trade deadline approaches. It would appear that Mat Latos and Dan Haren are the guys in demand, so perhaps expect to see them in new team colors once the All-Star Break is over. Tom Koehler (7-4, 3.52 ERA) will take to the hill for Miami on Wednesday, and will be looking for his 4th straight win.

Key Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
  • Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
  • Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

My Betting Prediction

Boston will be desperate to take both games in this series, but they could be in a little trouble in this one. Koehler has pitched very well of late, while the Red Sox never seem to win with Porcello on the mound. I have to say that I like the Marlins in this one.