Minnesota vs Kansas City MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Alex Murphy on July 2, 2015 in

We are just about to head into the final week of the first half of the season, and that is sure to come as a blessing for many teams looking to get their guys rested and back to full health. The goal of the teams at the top of their respective divisions is to stay there until the break arrives, which means the Kansas City Royals are going to have to find a way to hold off the Minnesota Twins when they meet for a 4-game MLB betting series in KC. The second game of that series will be played on Friday night.

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals MLB Odds Analysis

Date: Friday, July 03, 2015
Time: 8:10PM
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Opening Line: Kansas City -154

The Royals (44-31) currently have a 4.5 game lead over the Twins, but are coming into this series licking their wounds a little. They followed up a sweep of the Oakland A’s with a disappointing 3-game sweep at the hands of the Houston Astros. That put a bit of a damper on their 9 –game road swing, as they were a solid 5-1 heading into that final series. Still, the Royals can take comfort in the fact that they will now have a 10-game home stand that will take them all the way up to the All-Star Break. They have a 22-13 record at home, and if they can continue to win at that pace for the remainder of the first half, they should be in god shape when the break comes around. Jeremy Guthrie (6-5, 5.68 ERA) will start for the Royals on Friday and will be looking for back to back wins.

The Minnesota Twins (41-37) would love nothing more than to cut into the deficit at the top of the Central division, but they are certainly not playing their best ball of the season right now. They have lost 7 of their last 11 games, and are coming off a disappointing road trip where they went a combined 2-4 against less than stellar Brewers and Reds squads. They are just 3-6 against the Royals this season, and were swept in the last series they played, which was actually part of a home stand for the Twins. The road has not been kind to Minnesota this season, and they come into this series 6 games under .500 away from home. The Twins will start Tommy Milone (4-1, 3.19 ERA) on Friday. He has had a pair of starts against the Royals this season, winning one and getting a no decision in the other.

Key Betting Trends

Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

The Royals are a much more formidable opponent when playing at home, which is not good news for a Twins team that does not care for the road. I like the Royals to come away with the win in this one, which may well be a low-scoring affair.

ESPN.com (http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/5370/jeremy-guthrie)
Yahoo.com (http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/9035/)