New York Mets at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Odds Analysis

Posted by Alex Murphy on Wednesday,May 13, 2015 7:00, EST in

When you have a pitching staff that is doing their thing the way you had hoped, things tend to go well for you during that stretch. It’s when things start to go off the rails that you begin to see your team as a whole start to struggle. The New York Mets –who are -117 favorites on MLB lines for the match– and the Chicago Cubs, who meet in Chicago for the 3rd of 4 games on Wednesday, have pitching staffs that seem to be heading in totally different directions.

Taking a Look at the New York Mets at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Odds Analysis & Game Info

Time: Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
National TV: ESPN
Opening line: Mets -117, Cubs +107 (TBA)

The Chicago Cubs (16-15) were one of the surprise teams during the first month of the season, and it was their pitching that helped them overachieve somewhat. Their staff had a solid 3.53 ERA through the first 21 games of the season, but things have gone south pretty quickly, as that number had ballooned to 6.49 by the time they hit the 30-game mark. They have reigned it in a bit over the past two games: a 3-2 OT loss to Milwaukee, and a 4-3 win in the first game of the series versus the Mets. It’s going to be interesting to see if that skid was an aberration, or whether it is setting the tone for what is to come the rest of the way. Jason Hammel (3-1, 3.52 ERA) will take to the mound for the Cubs on Wednesday. Hammel gave up 2 runs over 7 innings to get the win in his last start, which came last week against the Brewers.

The New York Mets (20-12) are the surprise leaders of the NL East, and it is pitching that has been one of the major keys to their early success. The starters for the Mets are tops in the league in wins, winning percentage, and ERA, so it’s no real surprise that they find themselves atop the division. As good as the pitching has been, though, there have been times when the offense hasn’t matched those performances. The Mets are just 5-5 in their last 10 games, and can now surely feel the red hot Washington National breathe down their neck on second place. The good news for the Mets is that Matt Harvey (5-1, 2.72 ERA) will get the start on Wednesday. Harvey had been stellar all season before taking his first loss in his last outing, where he gave up all 3 runs in a 3-1 loss to the Phillies.

Key Online Betting Trends

Chi Cubs is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 9 games
NY Mets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 7 games on the road
NY Mets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

I think that Matt Harvey is set to bounce back in a big way on Wednesday night, which is why I believe that the Mets will come away with the win in this one.