New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds MLB Free Betting Pick

Posted by Daniel Strum on Thursday,September 24, 2015 10:35, EST in

When a franchise has a history of winning, they seem to know exactly how to react when holding on to a lead. The same cannot be said for teams that have gone a long time without any kind of real success. This may help explain why the New York Mets have looked so shaky coming down the stretch for MLB betting fans. They will try to take another step towards closing out the division when they head to Cincinnati to face the Reds on Thursday.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds MLB Free Betting Pick & TV Info

Date/Time: Thursday, September 24, 2015 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: FS-O
Radio: WLW 700
Opening Lines: Mets -163, Reds +155

Everyone assumed that the NL East was a done deal the moment the Mets (85-66) swept the Nationals to take a 9.5 game lead. Since that series, though, the Mets have gone just 7-5, and have allowed the Nats to shave 3 games off that lead. The smart money would still definitely be on New York to take the division, but their performance down the stretch makes you wonder just how capable they are of making a run deep into the playoffs.

They really need to make some sort of statement over the final 10 days of the season, which means not losing to teams like the Atlanta Braves, which is exactly what happened on Tuesday night. Steven Matz (4-0, 1.80 ERA) has been nothing short of brilliant in his 5 starts for the Mets this season.

You have to feel some level of sympathy for the Cincinnati Reds (63-87) when you look at the games remaining on their schedule. It has been a truly awful season for them, and it looks as though it might just get worse, given who they have to play over the final 2 weeks. The reality is that it wouldn’t really matter who this team played right now, as they are just not very good at all. They have done a good job of hanging in there with the Cardinals in the series that they are playing now, but you don’t get anything in this league for a tight loss.

The Reds cannot score runs right now, which is sure to be an issue against a Mets team with a very good pitching staff. About the best Cincinnati can hope for in this series is to keep things respectable. Josh Smith (0-2, 7.71 ERA) will start for the Reds.

Key Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
  • Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Consider This Before Placing Your Bet

Matz should continue to roll against an anemic Reds offense, while the New York hitters must be relishing the prospect of facing Smith. An easy win for the Mets here, I think.