While not an official gauge of the quality of a team, the .500 mark is what the average online sports betting fan uses to decide which teams are good and which are bad. The higher above that mark you are, the better you are perceived to be, while those who languish well below it are generally perceived as being the worst. What does that mark tell us about teams who are sitting right at it? In the case of the Atlanta Braves and the Cincinnati Reds, who start a 4-game series in Atlanta on Thursday, the answer is not very much at this point.
Quick Look at the Online Baseball Betting Preview on Cincinnati vs Atlanta & TV Info
Date: Thursday, April 30, 2015
Venue: Turner Field
Opening Line: Atlanta -123
Final: Nationals 13, Braves 4
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 30, 2015
It was pretty much a given that the Braves (10-10) were going to struggle this year. The cleaned out in the offseason, and didn’t do much to replace the quality players they traded away with guys of equal value. This is not so much a rebuilding season as it is putting money away for when they have to load upon free agents when the new stadium is ready. The Braves surprised a lot of people with a fast start to the season, but their 3-7 mark in the last 10 games may well be a proper indication of who and what they really are. Shelby Miller (3-0, 2.05 ERA) will get the start for Atlanta on Thursday, and will be looking to continue his solid start to the season. The Braves have won all 4 games that Miller has started this season.
The Reds (10-11) fell below the .500 mark on Wednesday after an 8-3 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. They had won the first 2 of the series, as expected, and would have probably headed to Atlanta on a bit of a high had they been able to complete the sweep. The series against the Braves will be the first of 9 games on the road for the Reds, who are currently 4-6 away from home this season. With the Pirates and White Sox the next stop after Atlanta, the Reds could find themselves slipping well below that .500 mark if they don’t improve on the road. Mike Leake (0-1, 3.90 ERA) is scheduled to start on Thursday, which is good news for the Reds. Leake has been a whole lot better than his numbers might suggest.
Key Betting Trends
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Consider This Before Placing Your Bets
This has the potential of being a tight one of both pitchers can continue with their early season form. The Braves will be looking to bounce back after a heartbreaking 13-12 loss to the Nationals, where they can at least take solace in the fact that their bats were hot. I like the Braves to win at home here.