Online Expert MLB Pick on LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs

Posted by Alex Murphy on June 24, 2015 in

We have spoken before about expectations, and how teams are judged based on the expectations of fans. No team came into the season with loftier expectations than the LA Dodgers. When you spend more money than anyone else, you are expected to be a winner. The Chicago Cubs were believed to be a couple of years away from truly contending, but they have surpassed all expectations to this point in the season. These two teams will finish up a 4-game MLB betting series in Chicago on Thursday afternoon.

Quick View on the Online Expert MLB Pick on LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs & TV Info

Time: Thursday, 2:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
National TV: MLB Network
Opening line: Cubs -122, Dodgers +112 (total TBA)

The goal of every team is to have a starting rotation to die for, but that does little good if you can’t get runs across home plate. The LA Dodgers (39-33) have become the poster boys for offensive futility, as their inability to get runs on the board is beginning to reach comedic proportions. You need only look at pitcher Zack Greinke for proof. He has recorded a sparkling 1.99 ERA over his last 8 starts, yet has not been able to pick up a single win during that stretch. The Dodgers have gone just 3-7 in their last 10 games, and are only maintaining their lead atop the NL West because the Giants are also in a bit of a tailspin. The Dodgers have dropped the first 2 games in this series, and still have 6 more on the road, where they are 12-20, after they are done with the Cubs. Carlos Frias (4-5, 4.68 ERA) will start for LA on Thursday.

There is still an awful long way to go in the season, but I think it’s finally fair to say that the Cubs (39-30) are for real. At this time last year, the Cubs were 11 games under .500 and for all intents and purposes, done for the season. While they are 6.5 games back of the dominating St. Louis Cardinals, they are very much alive and well in the Wild Card picture. Given how well the Cards are going this year, a backdoor route into the playoffs might well be the way that the Cubs will have to go. Their young guys are all delivering the goods, and you have to wonder if a couple of deadline day moves will be made to add a veteran presence in the locker room. Jon Lester (4-5, 3.80 ERA) will start for the Cubs on Thursday. Lester was outstanding in both of his previous starts, but ended up with a no decision in each.

Key Betting Trends

  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs’ last 10 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games at home
  • Chi Cubs is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • LA Dodgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • LA Dodgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers’ last 5 games on the road
  • LA Dodgers is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’ last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

Lester went through a bit of a rough patch, but his last two starts are proof that he has turned things around. A similar performance to either of those outings should be enough to get the Cubs the win.