Padres vs. Dodgers

Padres vs. Dodgers – MLB Odds & Picks

Written by on August 10, 2020

Last week, the Los Angeles Dodgers won two of three games at NL West rival San Diego. For the first time this season, the Padres head to Dodger Stadium as the teams open a four-game set on Monday night. The Dodgers are favored on the MLB odds, but they will be favored in nearly every game this season.

Padres vs. Dodgers – MLB Odds & Picks

How to Bet Padres at Dodgers MLB Odds & TV Info
  • When: Monday, 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Garrett Richards/Dustin May
  • TV: MLB Extra Innings
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: Dodgers -175, Padres +150 (total 8)
Why Bet on San Diego?

The Friars beat Arizona 9-5 on Sunday at home to take the weekend series 2-1. Manny Machado slugged a pair of solo homers. Machado killed lefties last year, and he jumped all over veteran southpaw Madison Bumgarner on Sunday afternoon, launching a ball out to left-center in the bottom of the first and another to left in the bottom of the second. Machado is now up to four home runs on the year, with his season OPS rising from .636 to .757 in one game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. The homer, a second-inning two-run shot off Bumgarner, pushed Tatis into a tie for the MLB lead with eight. It was also the 30th home run of the young shortstop’s career, and it came in his 100th career major league game. The only players with more than 30 home runs through 100 career games: Mark McGwire, Cody Bellinger, Rudy York, Pete Alonso, Gary Sanchez, and Jose Abreu.

It was the fourth straight game in which Tatis homered. San Diego batters have a ML-leading .895 OPS with 2 outs and a National League-leading 1.002 OPS with RISP.

Garrett Richards (0-1, 4.60) takes the mound for the Padres.  Richards took a loss last Wednesday after allowing four runs over five innings in his start against the Dodgers.  After dominating in his first start with the Padres, Richards has been mediocre in his last two outings. The big blow was a two-run shot off the bat from Joc Pederson, but he also allowed an RBI single to Will Smith and a run-scoring double to Enrique Hernandez. Richards has given up four runs in back-to-back starts and is yet to complete six full innings in any of his three outings this season.

Richards curveball has an average spin rate of 3,327 RPM, the 2nd-highest spin rate of any hurler’s pitch in the majors, behind only Ryan Pressly’s curveball (3,342 rpm).

Why Bet on LA Dodgers?

The Dodgers won for the fourth time in five games Sunday, 6-2 over the Giants. A.J. Pollock went 2-for-3 with a three-run homer. Pollock came up with the Dodgers trailing 2-0, and he clobbered a three-run shot off of Tyler Rogers to give the Dodgers a 3-2 lead. After a disappointing first season with Los Angeles, the outfielder is off to a strong start to the shortened 2020 campaign; slashing .311/.354/.667 with four homers and nine RBI.

Mookie Betts also hit a three-run homer Sunday. Betts put the game out of reach with a three-run shot off of Shaun Anderson in the eighth inning. It’s the fourth homer of the season for the former MVP, and he’s driven in 10 runs.

Corey Seager (back) remained out of the Dodgers’ lineup Sunday. Seager hasn’t played since he left Friday’s game with lower back discomfort. He’s not doing any baseball activities Sunday, but manager Dave Roberts said the injured list isn’t a consideration at this time. Through 13 games, he leads the league in barrels (10), barrel/PA % (18.5), hard hit balls of 95 MPH+ (28) and is eighth in the Majors in average exit velocity (94.8 MPH).

It’s highly-touted rookie Dustin May (1-0, 2.63) on the mound. May allowed two runs over six innings to pick up a win over the Padres in a 5-2 contest last Tuesday. May allowed just three hits, and he struck out eight. He made a few San Diego hitters look silly with his nasty stuff, and the eight strikeouts are a new career high for the 22-year-old.

May attributed his increased velocity to an offseason weightlifting program that helped him put on an extra 20 pounds of muscle. May has averaged 97.8 mph on his sinker so far this season, a tangible jump from the 96.0 mph he averaged on the pitch in 2019. The right-hander stated “I feel like it definitely helped” when addressing the impact of the muscle gain on his fastball velocity.

He has faced San Diego five times in his career (three starts) and is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA (7 ER/19.0 IP) and 17 strikeouts

Game Trends
  • Padres are 17-44 in the last 61 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Padres are 17-41 in the last 58 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
Expert PredictionDodgers 7, Padres 3
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