MLB Betting Pick on LA Dodgers at NY Mets NLDS Game 3

Posted by Daniel Strum on October 12, 2015 in

It’s all about claiming the second win in the series and going 2-1, when the Los Angeles Dodgers travel to New York to take on the Mets this Monday. Below is a brief MLB betting and lines preview of this alluring clash, complete with free baseball picks for your consideration.

In Depth Analysis on the MLB Betting Pick on LA Dodgers at NY Mets NLDS Game 3 & TV Info

Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, New York
Date: Monday, October 12, 2015
Time: 8:37 PM ET
MLB Lines: Los Angeles (+155), New York (-170), OVER/UNDER 6.5

The Mets and Dodgers are tied at 1-1 in their series, following the 5-2 win by Los Angeles over New York on Saturday. A motivated performance is therefore expected from the Dodgers, who will be carrying a lot of momentum from that win into the Big Apple this Monday.

But even with the psyche-up of recording that win in Game 2, there are concerns about LA’s pitching, as the wobbly Brett Anderson (10-9, 3.69 ERA) will start on the hill. The southpaw struggled in his final stretch of the regular, yielding a 4.74 ERA over his final 11 outings. Not to mention, the Dodgers are 1-3 in Anderson’s last four starts, vindicating the lack of confidence in his abilities.

That said, the Mets were just 18-16 on the year against left-handed starting pitchers, which gives Anderson a chance to impress and even surprise the MLB odds with a good game. Plus, the Los Angeles offense showed on Saturday that it is capable of making big hits when it counts most, so there is some reason for the road fans to be hopeful ahead of this Monday showdown.

Conversely, the presence of New York’s star pitcher Matt Harvey (13-8, 2.71 ERA) orients a lot of hope for many Mets fans. Harvey ended the regular season in dominant fashion, posting a 1.04 ERA with 24 strikeouts against just one walk in his final 17.2 innings, making him a player to watch in front of his home supporters tonight.

In addition, the Mets finished the season as one of the best teams in the MLB in extra base hits with 492. The availability of deadline-day acquisition Yoenis Cespedes particularly helped the New York offense to improve greatly over the second half of the season, something that means terror to Anderson and his would-be relievers tonight.

Just about the only concern for the New Yorkers is that LA’s starting lineup has a combined .296 average lifetime against Harvey. Even so, if his recent form is anything to go by, then the New York starting pitcher shouldn’t have much to worry about.

Key Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 2-2 against the Dodgers at home this season
  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • LA Dodgers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • LA Dodgers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 road games against NY Mets
  • NY Mets lead this season’s series, 5-4.
  • The total has gone OVER in 3 of the last 5 meetings between the two teams
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets’ last 13 home games against LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Dodgers’ last 13 overall games against NY Mets

Game Prediction: A back-and-forth affair ensues between the two teams, but Harvey and the Mets come out on top with a narrow victory, most probably with the total going OVER.