Seattle Hosts Detroit as the MLB Odds favorite for Friday Night
The Seattle Mariners will look to snap their two-game losing streak when they host the Detroit Tigers in the opener of a three-game set on Friday night as the MLB Odds favorite. If you’re wondering whether the Tigers can extend their recent winning ways or whether the M’s can get the win behind staff ace right-hander Felix Hernandez, then let’s get to my expert MLB betting pick right now.
Tigers (20-23) vs. Mariners (24-19) MLB Odds & Expert Pick
Once more for the people in the back:
🗣 This team never quits! pic.twitter.com/YIXLXe5sA9
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) 18 de mayo de 2018
- When: Friday, May 18, 2018, 10:10 PM
- Where: Safeco Field
- TV: RTNW, FSDT
- Radio: TuneIn
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Seattle Mariners -135 / Detroit Tigers +115 (Over/Under at 4)
Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)
- Runs: Detroit Tigers 3.50 / Seattle Mariners 5.50
- Hits: Detroit Tigers 8.20 / Seattle Mariners 9.20
- Walks: Detroit Tigers 2.30 / Seattle Mariners 3.50
- Strike Outs: Detroit Tigers 7.10 / Seattle Mariners 9.20
- Detroit: Michael Fulmer – R – (1-3, 4.37)
- Seattle: Felix Hernandez – R – (5-3, 5.66)
Why Bet on The Detroit Tigers?
The best reason to back the Tigers is that they’re playing their best baseball of the season right now, having won four of their last five games and five of seven overall. Detroit has scored 18 runs over their last three wins while beating the Cleveland Indians 6-3 on Monday and 9-8 on Tuesday.
Right-hander Michael Fulmer will take the mound looking for a better performance after getting smacked around for six earned runs on six hits, including two home runs, in 4.1 innings in his last start, a 9-5 loss to Seattle ironically, last Saturday. Fulmer also got smacked around for five earned runs in 5.2 innings in his previous start, a 7-5 loss to Texas on May 7. Fulmer is 0-2 with a 5.17 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Mariners.
- Runs: 4.44
- Hits: 9.14
- Walks: 2.70
- Strike Outs: 7.67
- Runs: 4.70
- Hits: 8.63
- Walks: 3.37
- Strike Outs: 7.63
Why Bet On The Seattle Mariners?
The best reason to back the Mariners in this contest is that they’re going up against a starting pitcher that has been absolutely abysmal in his last couple of starts and just beat him less than a week ago. The bad news, however, is that former Cy Young-winning right-hander Felix Hernandez is also struggling mightily, having allowed an identical five earned runs in each of his last two starts.
Hernandez gave up eight hits in 5.0 innings of Seattle’s 9-5 win over the Tigers last week, but he’s been mediocre at best in his last two outings. Prior to dropping their last two, Seattle had won two straight while beating Minnesota 1-0 on Monday and Texas 9-8 on Tuesday.
- Runs: 4.56
- Hits: 8.88
- Walks: 2.88
- Strike Outs: 7.70
- Runs: 4.56
- Hits: 8.67
- Walks: 2.88
- Strike Outs: 8.91
Latest MLB Betting Trends
- Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games
- Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing Detroit
- Fulmer is 0-2 when starting against Seattle with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.149
- Hernandez is 10-4 when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.238
Expert Analysis and Prediction
I’m just going to get to the point by saying that both of the starting pitchers in this matchup have been so disappointing in their last two starts that the Over has got to be the best pick for this Friday night affair.
The Over is 8-3-1 in Detroit’s last 12 games against teams from the American League West. The Over is also 9-3 in Michael Fulmer’s last 12 Friday starts and 5-2 in Fulmer’s last 7 starts vs. American League West ballclubs.
The Over is 8-3 in Seattle’s last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 18-8 in Mariners last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is also 5-0 in Felix Hernandez’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 9-1-1 in Hernandez’s last 11 starts during game 2 of a series.
MLB Betting Pick: Over 4 Runs