Atlanta vs Tampa Bay MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Mila Anderson on Monday,August 10, 2015 3:32, EST in

When a team falls out of playoff contention, effectively ending their baseball betting season, they have a couple of options open to them. They can stick with the players they have and allow them to just play out the string, or they can call up some young prospects in order to see how bright their future might be. The Atlanta Braves and Tampa Bay Rays are in that position right now, and they may have a few young guys in the line-up when they meet in Tampa on Tuesday night.

Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Odds Analysis

Date/Time: Tuesday, August 11th, 7:10 PM
Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
TV: Sun Sports
Radio: WDAE 620 AM /95.3 FM
Opening Line: Tampa Bay -180

 


 

The Braves (51-61) are no strangers to playing AAA guys this season, as they have been sending guys up and down all year long. This isn’t really much of a surprise to fans of the Braves, as it was made clear from day one that this was going to be the start of a rebuilding period. This was a team that started the season with a mix of youth and veteran guys who had been around the ballpark a few times. Atlanta hung in there a lot longer than most people thought they would, but their lack of quality in the line-up eventually caught up with them. They were big sellers at the deadline, and they will now spend the rest of the season evaluating their young guys. Williams Perez (4-2, 4.42 ERA) will try to snap a 2-game losing skid when he takes to the mound on Tuesday night.

The Tampa Bay Rays (56-56) are essentially still in the Wild Card race, as they sit just 4 games out of the final spot, but the moves made by management at the trade deadline suggest that they don’t feel that this team really has the talent to contend. There are a number of teams above them in the Wild Card who are playing very well right now, and the Rays simply aren’t showing enough to suggest that they might be able to keep up in the final few weeks. They are coming off a very nice series win against the New York Mets, but that was still only enough to take them to 5-5 in their last 10 games. Playing .500 ball the rest of the way is simply not going to be good enough to get a postseason berth. Erasmo Ramirez (8-4, 3.83 ERA) will get the start. He has not been particularly sharp in his last 3 starts, with the Rays losing each of those games.

Key Betting Trends

ATLANTA BRAVES

  • Atlanta is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Atlanta’s last 23 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta’s last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

TAMPA BAY RAYS

  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games at home
  • Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay’s last 12 games when playing Atlanta
  • Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

If the Rays are to stay in the Wild Card race, these are the types of games that they need to win. I think Ramirez breaks out of his slump and helps Tampa get the win in this one.

Sources:
ESPN.go.com (http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/33650/williams-perez)
Wikipedia.org (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erasmo_Ram%C3%ADrez_(right-handed_pitcher))