Los Angeles vs Milwaukee MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Alex Murphy on Thursday,May 7, 2015 7:05, EDT in

It has long been said that money can’t buy you a championship, but that certainly doesn’t stop some teams from continually trying to test the theory. The Los Angeles Dodgers have the highest payroll of any team in the MLB, and are currently playing that way. The Milwaukee Brewers are down near the middle of the pack, but the way they are playing this year would suggest that they are not getting value for money. These two teams meet in the final game of a 4-game set in Milwaukee on Thursday afternoon with the Dodgers as favorites on MLB odds.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Odds Analysis

Date: Thursday, May 07, 2015
Time: 1:40PM
Venue: Miller Park
Opening Line: Los Angeles -113

 


 

The LA Dodgers (17-9) have powered their way to the top of the NL West, scoring 126 runs and holding a +39 run differential. They have also been breaking records, as their 35 total home runs through the first 22 games of the season is a new franchise high total. It would be easy to sit and say at this point that their massive $270 plus million payroll was paying dividends, but this is a long season where things can go off the rails pretty quickly. Where the Dodgers would really love to improve is in their play on the road. They are 3 games under .500 right now, but have put together a staggering 13-2 record at home to make those road losses seem a little meaningless. Carlos Frias will get the start for the Dodgers on Thursday afternoon.

The Milwaukee Brewers (8-19) have been the butt of many jokes to this point in the season, and are an easy target given that they have the worst record in baseball. That is a label that they may soon shake off, though, as they seem to be turning things around in the second full month of the season. April was a bit of a nightmare, but they started May by taking 3 of 4 from the Cubs on the road, and then splitting the first 2 games of the series with the high flying Dodgers. They have been getting much better starts from their pitching staff, and it appears as though the bats are starting to warm up a little. Whether this is a minor positive blip or a sign of a lasting upswing remains to be seen. Mike Fiers (1-3, 4.74 ERA) will take to the mound for the Brewers, and will be looking to build on his last outing, which was far and away his best of the season.

Key Online Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Milwaukee is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee’s last 16 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Dodgers’s last 16 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

The Milwaukee Brewers mini revival is a nice story, but it’s not one that I believe will come with a happy ending. They did a great job of shelling the Dodgers on Tuesday, but I think normal service will be resumed in the rest of the series, which should finish with a Dodgers win on Thursday.

Sources
ESPN.com (http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/30773/mike-fiers)
MLB.com (http://losangeles.dodgers.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=la)