Top MLB Betting Picks to Parlay This Weekend

Posted by Michael Hunt on Friday,June 23, 2017 11:50, EST in

If we are being honest, it’s somewhat easy to pick most MLB games straight up. Favorites cover more often than not in MLB, as if the home team has the best pitcher you are in good shape. But to really make money, you need to parlay the next few MLB betting picks for this weekend. Here are three I would do so here.

Top MLB Betting Picks to Parlay This Weekend

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

When: Saturday, June 24, 4:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field
Radio: Go 96.3 (Minnesota) / WTAM 1100 (Cleveland)
TV:  FSNO (Minnesota) / SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland)
MLB Betting Odds: TBA

Huge pitching mismatch here – you could even go Indians on the runline to add value. They start ace Corey Kluber (6-2, 3.58). Kluber struck out 11 while allowing three hits and no walks in a complete game shutout Monday against the Orioles in a 12-0 win.

He threw first-pitch strikes to 21 of the 30 hitters he faced while notching a season high in punchouts. He was in the strike zone at 74 percent clip and induced 12 groundball outs while not allowing a single runner past first base.

He has a 1.61 ERA and a 39:4 K:BB to go along with a 3-0 record in four starts since returning to the rotation from the DL. Kluber became only the eighth big-league pitcher over the last eight seasons to throw a complete-game shutout of at least nine innings in a game in which his team scored at least a dozen runs. The 12-0 victory represented the most runs in a shutout win by any big-league team this season.

In his career against the Twins, Kluber is 8-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 18 starts. Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson lost last Sunday after he allowed three runs on eight hits and three walks with four strikeouts in six innings against the Indians.

Gibson has demonstrated some improvements over his past five outings, pitching to a 4.34 ERA with a 52.1 percent ground-ball rate. However, he's still been far too hittable (36 hits in 29 innings) and isn’t missing many bats (22 strikeouts).

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Twins are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Indians are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 games
  • Twins are 2-5 SU in the last 7 games
  • Indians are 8-1 SU in the last 9 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

When: Saturday, June 24, 10:10 PM ET
Where: Dodger Stadium
Radio: KOA 850 AM/ (Colorado) / SportsNet LA (LA)
TV: MLBN (out-of-market only) / ROOTRM (Colorado) / 570 LA Sports (LA)
MLB Betting Odds: Dodgers to win series at -340 / Rockies to win series at +270

L.A. will be north of a -230 favorite here behind Clayton Kershaw (10-2, 2.61), so you might consider the runline here as well to add value. He comes off a rare bad start, which always means he’s terrific the next time out. He did win Monday against the Mets despite allowing six runs on six hits in 6.1 innings pitched. He also walked one and struck out 10. Kershaw did allow a career-high four homers and has allowed a career-high 17 this season.

Only six pitchers have surrendered more homers this season than Kershaw, who — despite maintaining a top-five ERA, K%, and BB% in the NL — is exhibiting an unprecedented problem. In 263 starts before 2017, Kershaw had allowed three homers in a game just twice; in 15 starts this year, he’s already reached that mark three times.

I’m not worried and neither should you be. Kershaw is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA this year vs. Colorado. The Rox go with Tyler Chatwood. Opponents have scored two runs or fewer in each of Chatwood’s last four starts dating back to June 3. Chatwood has lowered his ERA nearly a full run during that span, from 5.04 to 4.08. But he was routed in his lone start vs. the Dodgers this year.

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Rockies are 6-2 SU in the last 8 games
  • Dodgers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Rockies are 6-3 ATS in the last 9 games on the road
  • Dodgers are 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Colorado’s last 7 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’s last 5 games

The Diamondbacks are the MLB betting favorite against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks

When: Sunday, June 25, 4:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Field
Radio:  (Philadelphia) /  (Arizona)
TV:  (Philadelphia) /  (Arizona)
MLB Betting Odds: Diamondbacks to win series at -360 /  Phillies to win series at +290

Complete your parlay with a bet on Arizona, which will be a sizable favorite behind ace Zack Greinke (8-4, 3.14). Greinke allowed four runs on nine hits while striking out seven over 7.1 innings during Tuesday’s 4-3 loss to the Rockies. He did not issue a walk.

Aside from a mistake pitch that Carlos Gonzalez hammered for a home run in the fourth inning, Greinke was mostly against the Rockies through the first seven frames. Manager Torey Lovullo sent his ace back out to the mound with a 3-2 lead in the eighth, but Greinke was quickly pulled from the game after allowing back-to- back singles to Charlie Blackmon and DJ LeMahieu before Nolan Arenado roped a go-ahead two-run double off the right field wall.

Greinke lowered his BB/9 to an excellent 1.76 and now has the fourth-most strikeouts in the National League with 111. The Phillies counter with Jeremy Hellickson. Hellickson did not factor into the decision Tuesday after allowing one run on six hits (one homer) and two walks with four strikeouts over seven innings vs. the Cardinals.

Hellickson (5-5, 4.61 ERA) lasted seven innings for the first time since April 21, allowing only one run on a second-inning solo shot by Jedd Gyorko. That was Hellickson’s 16th home run allowed this season, as he’s currently running a career-worst 1.7 HR/9 rate. His 4.1 K/9 rate is also the worst of his career.

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 2-13 SU in the last 15 games
  • Diamondbacks is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Phillies is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Diamondbacks is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
  • The total went OVER in 10 of Arizona’s last 15 games