Top MLB Parlay Picks & Betting Analysis for Saturday

Posted by Michael Hunt on Friday,July 14, 2017 9:29, EDT in

I generally pick three MLB games per weekend on these stories. You will never see my parlay three underdogs together. In baseball, the underdog of course has to win outright. In the NFL or NBA, the underdog simply needs to cover the spread. I will throw an underdog in occasionally to bump up the potential return, but you should largely stick to favorites when betting MLB games on the moneyline. Totals are another story. With that said, here are the top three MLB parlay picks for this upcoming weekend.

Top MLB Parlay Picks & Betting Analysis for Saturday

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals

When: Saturday, July 15th. 5:15pm CT
Where: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
TV: FS1
Radio: KFLC 1270 (Texas) / KCSP 610 (Kansas City)
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA

Here’s one where I prefer the total to the side in a good projected pitching matchup between lefties. It’s Cole Hamels for Texas. Hamels (4-0, 3.51) scattered three hits and a walk over 7.2 scoreless innings while striking out six in last Friday;s win over the Angels. He didn’t allow a runner to reach second base and threw 65 of 95 pitches for strikes.

After a rough first outing in his return from the DL at the end of June, Hamels has now delivered two straight quality starts. He beat the Royals on April 21 by holding them to one run in eight innings and is 3-1 with a 3.67 ERA in four starts against them in his career.

Who Will Start for the Royals?

It’s Royals All-Star Jason Vargas (12-3, 2.62). He leads the AL in wins and ERA. After allowing only three homers combined over his past six starts, Vargas surrendered three last Wednesday to snap a four-game quality-start streak. The southpaw has given up more than three runs in a start only twice this season, allowing six in both.

Vargas is 34, and a 2.62 ERA would be the lowest in baseball for a man at 34 or older since Roy Halladay in 2011. In the last 20 years, here is the complete list of the other men that old to have an ERA of 2.62 or better: Roger Clemens, Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Chris Carpenter, and Kevin Brown. Get under here.

Latest MLB Parlay Trends

  • Rangers are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games on the road
  • Royals are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Rangers are 1-4 SU in the last 5 games on the road
  • Royals are 6-2 ATS in the  last 8 games at home
  • The total went UNDER in 12 of Texas’s last 18 games on the road
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres

When: Saturday, July 15th. 6:40pm CT
Where: Petco Park, San Diego, California
TV:  NBCS BA (San Francisco) / FSSD (San Diego)
Radio: KNBR 680 (San Francisco) / FM 94.9 (San Diego)
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA

Sticking with the under here. The San Francisco Giants’ season went in the toilet in late April when ace Madison Bumgarner (0-3, 3.00) hurt his pitching shoulder while dirt biking – he’s a bit of a redneck. Bumgarner is set to finally return from the DL – although the Giants aren’t even sniffing .500 this season.

Bumgarner, who suffered the injuries during a Giants off day in Colorado, said he's happy with how his rehab went. Bumgarner avoided surgery as he rebuilt his arm strength during stints in the Arizona Rookie League, at Triple-A Fresno and at Class A San Jose. All four of Bumgarner’s starts have been quality this year but the Giants haven’t scored for him. He dominated the Padres on April 8 in a loss.

Who Will Take the Mound for the Padres on Saturday?

It’s Jhoulys Chacin (8-7, 4.32) for San Diego. In his final start before the break, Chacin won after giving up one run on three hits (one homer) and two walks with six strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings last Saturday against the Phillies.

Chacin notched his second straight victory with his sixth consecutive start of two earned runs of fewer. The 29-year- old has a 2.44 ERA since May. He also has a 1.68 ERA at home this season.

Latest MLB Parlay Trends

  • Giants are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Padres are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Giants are 1-5 SU in the last 6 games
  • Padres are 5-2 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 8 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games

Are the Indians a Safe MLB Parlay Pick Against the Athletics on Saturday?

Cleveland Indians at Oakland A’s

When: Saturday, July 15th. 5:40pm PT
Where: O.co Coliseum, Oakland
TV: SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland) / NBCSCA (Oakland)
Radio: WTAM 1100 (Cleveland) / 95.7 FM The Game (Oakland)
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA

Yep, the under trifecta. It’s ace and Cy Young candidate Corey Kluber (7-3, 2.80) on the mound for the Indians. Kluber allowed one run on three hits while striking out eight over five innings of a no-decision last Sunday against the Tigers.

Kluber’s run of double-digit strikeouts ended as he failed to fan 10 or more batters for the first time in six starts. His early departure was likely due to a high pitch count (101, 40 of which were balls).

Kluber was picked for the All-Star Game but couldn’t pitch because he did last Sunday. Since June 1, Kluber has gone 4-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 82 strikeouts in eight starts (56 innings).

Who Will Face the Indians on Saturday?

The Indians have never faced A’s rookie Paul Blackburn. Blackburn won after allowing one run on eight hits (one homer) and one walk with no strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings against the Mariners last Thursday.

Blackburn (1-0, 0.66 ERA) was excellent in his second Major League start, yielding only a solo homer en route to his first career win. Thursday's performance was a strong follow-up to his MLB debut, which saw him allow one unearned run over six innings in a no-decision.

Latest MLB Parlay Trends

  • Indians are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games on the road
  • Athletics are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games
  • Indians are 9-2 SU in the last 11 games on the road
  • Athletics are 4-2 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 12 of Cleveland’s last 18 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Oakland’s last 7 games