Sometimes players get too focused on betting a winner or loser in a Major League Baseball game. Often you can find better value on a total, especially going under on those early day games that follow a night one. Here are three matchups where I’d go under the total on Tuesday regardless of what that number is on MLB lines.
Here’s a Look at the Top MLB Parlay Picks of the Week (August 15th)
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— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) August 15, 2016
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians
It’s a matchup of All-Stars here. For the Sox, it’s lefty Jose Quintana (9-8, 2.85). Quintana allowed a single run on four hits over 7.1 innings last Wednesday against Kansas City, striking out five and walking one in a no-decision. He left the game with a 1-0 lead and a man on second, but reliever Nate Jones promptly gave up a game-tying double and the White Sox went on to lose in 14 innings. Quintana has pitched six or more innings in eight straight starts and is unbeaten in his last seven, posting a 4-0 record with a 2.11 ERA during that stretch. He is looking for his first 10- win season. The Tribe go with righty Corey Kluber, the 2014 Cy Young winner. Kluber (12-8, 3.21) gave up three runs over six innings while striking out three and walking two during Thursday’s win over the Los Angeles Angels. It was Kluber’s third win in as many games, although it was his shortest outing since July 3. Kluber has delivered six consecutive starts of at least six frames while allowing three runs or fewer. Over that span, he is 4-0 and has allowed eight earned runs across 43 innings.
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
These guys weren’t All-Stars but they are pitching as well as anyone right now. For Kansas City, it’s lefty Danny Duffy (9-1, 2.82). Duffy allowed just one run with six strikeouts compared to no walks in a dominant complete game victory over the White Sox on Thursday. He pitched to contact, as he induced 10 ground ball outs and 11 fly ball outs. The Royals have won in each of Duffy’s last nine outings and are 14-3 in his starts this year. The Tigers go with former Cy Young winner Justin Verlander (12-6, 3.42). Verlander was left with a no-decision Wednesday despite allowing the Mariners to score just once — a solo homer — in seven innings. He struck out six while giving up seven hits and two walks. Verlander is 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA over his last eight starts, including seven innings of one-run ball in a no-decision last Wednesday at Seattle. He threw seven innings with 10 strikeouts against the Royals on July 15.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies
The Dodgers start rookie Kenta Maeda (11-7, 3.31). Maeda (11-7) allowed three runs on six hits with two walks and four strikeouts over five innings to beat the Phillies last Tuesday. Maeda broke a streak of three straight starts with exactly two runs allowed and no walks. Despite that shaky outing, he remains L.A.’s most consistent pitcher, leading the team in innings. The Phillies go with Vince Velasquez (8-4, 3.94). This will be the second straight start Velasquez has faced his hometown team. The Dodgers roughed him up to the tune of nine runs in 4 2/3 innings in Los Angeles. Both guys will be better this time out and bet all these on the under total on MLB odds.