There are some good series around baseball this weekend: Tigers-Yankees, Cardinals-Pirates, Rangers-Mariners and Dodgers-Giants to name four. Here are three game picks for the weekend on betting lines where I’d go under the projected game total and parlay them all together.
Inside Scoop on the Top MLB Parlay Picks of the Weekend (June 11-12)
Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees, Saturday
The total here likely will be around 8. The Tigers start their ace Justin Verlander (5-5, 3.97). He allowed two runs on five hits and a walk in seven innings while striking out eight in Sunday’s win over the White Sox. Both runs came on solo shots by Jose Abreu and Todd Frazier, but Verlander’s stinginess in letting anyone get on base limited the damage. Verlander threw an impressive 76 of 104 pitches for strikes, and the strong outing dropped his ERA below 4.00 for the first time all season. Verlander was a Yankee nemesis for years in postseason play, but he’s 0-4 with a 4.84 ERA in seven regular-season starts at new Yankee Stadium. It’s Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka (3-1, 2.76). Tanaka pitched well in a no-decision Monday, allowing two runs in seven innings against the Angels. He surrendered six hits and walked two while striking out three. Tanaka has been a force on the mound these last few games, allowing just four runs in his last 27 innings. He’s posted a 1.33 ERA in that span and lasted seven innings in three of the four games.
Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays, Sunday
This total might be higher than it should be normally as it’s a matchup of good left-handers who are better than their numbers indicate. Houston goes with reigning AL Cy Young winner Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel fell to 3-8 Tuesday versus Texas, allowing four runs on 10 hits across 7.1 innings. He struck out eight. He pitched fairly well with a season-high in punchouts and pitching into the eighth inning for just the second time. Keuchel has put together three consecutive solid starts but has one win to show for it. Tampa Bay’s Matt Moore (2-4, 5.56) allowed five runs on seven hits and a walk with three strikeouts in a loss Tuesday to the Diamondbacks. Moore can’t figure out how to keep the ball in the yard. He was touched up for home runs by Jake Lamb and Paul Goldschmidt on Tuesday to raise his total to 14 allowed on the season. But Moore is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two career starts against Houston.
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners, Sunday
Likely a total of 7.5 here between southpaws. It’s Cole Hamels (5-1, 3.32) for Texas. Hamels allowed just two runs with four strikeouts and four walks across seven innings Tuesday versus the Astros. He did not factor into the decision. The veteran delivered his fourth quality start in the last five outings. Hamels will be making his second start of the season against the Mariners — the first came on April 4, when he allowed two runs in seven innings in the Rangers’ 3-2 win. He is 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA in three career starts at Safeco Field. Seattle goes with Wade Miley (6-2, 5.27). Miley gave up just four hits in seven shutout innings to beat Cleveland on Tuesday after allowing 26 hits and 18 runs in 14 2/3 innings over his previous three starts. He’s 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA in five career starts against Texas. I like under on betting lines here at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field.