Winning Parlay Picks for the MLB Weekend

Posted by Jordan Walters on Friday,May 13, 2016 11:05, EDT in

Most bettors focus just one on the moneyline between baseball teams. But there can be plenty of value when choosing totals on sports betting. And here are three games this weekend that I would parlay together and go under the total in each.

Winning Parlay Picks for the MLB Weekend

A’s at Rays, Sunday: Two of the best pitchers in the American League — and two of its worst offenses — in Oakland’s Sonny Gray and Tampa Bay’s Drew Smyly. Gray has been surprisingly roughed up his past two outings so he’s due for another strong start. Gray (3-4) lasted just 3.2 innings while being rocked for seven runs on eight hits against the Red Sox on Monday. He walked two and struck out two. The shelling was Gray’s third straight loss, a period in which his ERA has ballooned from 2.73 to 6.00. In his past two outings, the 2011 first-round pick has been tagged for 14 runs on 19 hits. Smyly (1-4) surrendered 10 hits and six earned runs over five innings in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss to the Mariners. He struck out five. Smyly was done in by two homers that accounted for five of the six runs he gave up. Smyly has been able to pitch only five innings in each of his last two starts, and has given up a pair of home runs in two of his last three trips to the mound as well. The six earned runs were the most he’d given up in a start this year, and his ERA climbed almost a full run to 3.63. But that just means he’s due a good start as well.

Pirates at Cubs, Sunday: Pittsburgh goes with ace Gerrit Cole (3-3, 3.78). Cole allowed two runs on six hits and two walks over six innings last Sunday, striking out seven in a 10-5 win over the Cardinals. He’s still having trouble lasting deep into games, and Cole needed 104 pitches (65 strikes) to get through Sunday’s outing. Cole hasn’t pitched more than six innings in a start all season, and an elevated walk rate (3.24 BB/9, up from 1.90 last year) seems to be the primary culprit. It’s Cubs lefty Jon Lester (4-1, 1.96). Lester recorded his sixth quality start in a win over the Padres last time out but admitted he wasn’t sharp. He beat the Pirates on May 4 at PNC Park in his only non-quality start, giving up eight hits over 5 2/3 scoreless innings.

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Angels at Mariners, Sunday: It’s lefty Hector Santiago (2-2, 4.07) for the Angels. He lost Tuesday versus the Cardinals, allowing four runs on seven hits and two walks in just 4.1 innings. He struck out two. Santiago posted a 2.70 ERA and a 9.1 K/9 through his first four starts, but he has now allowed 11 earned runs and struck out seven total batters in 15.1 innings since. Due to a rash of injuries to the Angels’ rotation, Santiago has effectively become the team’s ace. Seattle goes with ace Felix Hernandez (3-2, 2.27). Hernandez allowed two runs on four hits and two walks with four strikeouts over seven innings in Monday’s win over the Rays. Hernandez was touched up for a pair of solo home runs but was otherwise sharp all day long, as he induced nine ground ball outs and 13 swinging strikes in the win. Hernandez passed Jamie Moyer for the most wins in franchise history Monday with 146 and now will look to add to that total against an Angels team that beat him on April 23 in Anaheim. King Felix is 14-15 with a 3.31 ERA in 47 starts against the Angels.