Philadelphia vs Atlanta MLB Betting Preview

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 20, 2015 in

As teams look to dump salary and rebuild from scratch, the power balance in division can take a real shift. That is what has happened in the NL East this year, with the NY Mets leading the way. They were a team that normally had to watch as the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies ruled the roost, but both of those teams are now in a fight to see who gets the worst overall record and the first pick in the next MLB draft. They will finish up a 3-game series in Atlanta on Sunday. Find the latest MLB betting lines here.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Preview

Date: Sunday, September 20, 2015
Time: 1:35PM
Venue: Turner Field
Opening Line: Atlanta -142


It would be easy to look at the last series for the Phillies (56-91) and simply assume that they are going in the tank to get that first overall pick. In fairness, though, they were swept by a Washington Nationals team that is fighting for their playoff lives. The series before that may be a better judge of the effort being delivered by the Phillies, as they managed to get a very respectable split from the Chicago Cubs, who are almost definitely postseason bound. This is the series that is likely to decide who will finish last though, as the Phillies are a game back of the Braves. A loss in this series might just put them in a position they can’t get out of. Aaron Nola (6-2, 4.15 ERA) will get the start for Philadelphia.

The last 2 series for the Braves (57-90), as they have been forced to face two of the hottest teams in baseball right now, the New York Mets and the Toronto Blue Jays. The results are pretty much what you might have expected, with the Braves going 1-6 over the 7 games in those series. This is a team that is committed to youth, and who are unlikely to loosen the purse strings until their new stadium is ready to open its doors. No other team has taken the opportunity to take a look at what they have in the minors more than the Braves have. Their line-up is seldom the same on consecutive nights, and they have gone through more pitchers in a single season than most teams do over a 3 year span. A last place finish might help them get another hot young prospect to add to the list. Julio Teheran (10-7, 4.34 ERA) will get the start for the Braves.

Key Online Betting Trends

Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games
Atlanta is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

This is actually a pretty decent pitching match-up, which may mean a low-scoring game is the result. A tough one to call, but my money is on the Braves here.