Wednesday MLB Odds & Expert Prediction: NY Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

Posted by Henry Watkins on Wednesday,May 9, 2018 10:44, EDT in

Most teams in the MLB go through periods of time when they are good, followed by stretches where they enter into a rebuilding phase where the results are not very good at all. Then there are teams who seem to be stuck in some sort of limbo. Those teams are not going to seriously challenge, but they are also not going to be truly awful. That appears to be where the New York Mets find themselves right now. They did start the season quite well, even spending some time at the top of the NL East, but they are now sliding while the other teams in the division are playing well. The Cincinnati Reds are in the rebuilding phase and are already well out of things in their division, which is why despite playing at home they don’t come in as the favorites at the latest MLB odds.

These two teams are going head to head in a series that begun earlier this week, and while it is one that you would have expected the Mets to win, the first two games of the series have ended in a split. Who’s the better MLB betting pick in the deciding game? Let’s find out right now!

Mets vs. Reds MLB Odds & Expert Prediction

  • When: Wednesday, May 9 at 12:35 PM EST
  • Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
  • Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Sal Romano
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Radio: New York 710 WOR / Cincinnati WLW 700
  • Live Stream:
  • MLB Odds: New York Mets -110 (Over/Under at 10)

Indians at Brewers MLB Lines & Betting Pick – May 9th

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: NY Mets 4.60 / Cincinnati Reds 5.10
  • Hits: NY Mets 9.50 / Cincinnati Reds 8.90
  • Walks: NY Mets 3.10 / Cincinnati Reds 4.20
  • Strike Outs: NY Mets 7.70 / Cincinnati Reds 7.90

Why Consider the MLB Odds for New York?

In the last week or so, the New York Mets have been making the headlines for all the wrong reasons. The saga with pitcher Matt Harvey played out longer than it really should have, ending with him being traded to the Reds. There is also the issue of this team losing 7 of their last 8 games, with the rot setting in after being swept, a series that cost the Mets the division lead. Their problems have been obvious during this stretch, with the most apparent issue being their inability to drive home runs.

They have had a couple of big scoring games in this run but overall managed to score just 20 runs in those 8 games. They also surrendered 47 runs during that stretch. It’s going to be tough for any team to win when they are giving up almost 6 runs per game. The Mets will try to stop the bleeding when they send Zack Wheeler (2-2, 5.79 ERA) to the mound.

Team Statistics


  • Runs: 4.32
  • Hits: 7.88
  • Walks: 3.82
  • Strike Outs: 9.15


  • Runs: 4.71
  • Hits: 8.74
  • Walks: 3.18
  • Strike Outs: 9.38

Why Consider the MLB Odds for Cincinnati?

At just 9-27 on the season, the Reds are already 12 games off the pace in the NL Central and sinking like a stone. You don’t post that type of record without being bad in just about every aspect of the game, and their stats in both batting and pitching reflect that. Perhaps the most telling stat of all is that the Reds have had zero quality starts from their pitching staff in the first 36 games of the season.

Despite playing at home, the Reds are not favorites at the latest MLB Odds.

This tells you that they are more often than not getting behind early and being forced to dig out of a hole that their anemic offense cannot handle. Their win over the Mets in the second game of this series was just their 3rd in the last 10 games, so it’s tough to imagine them winning back to back. The Reds will send Sal Romano (2-3, 4.21 ERA) to the mound for this one.

Team Statistics


  • Runs: 4.06
  • Hits: 8.19
  • Walks: 3.86
  • Strike Outs: 7.97


  • Runs: 5.39
  • Hits: 9.06
  • Walks: 3.78
  • Strike Outs: 7.72

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • NY Mets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games
  • NY Mets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’ last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

These are two teams just not playing very well right now, but one of them is going to win this series. I am putting my money on the Mets in a close one.

Score: New York Mets 5 – Cincinnati Reds 4