Houston vs Baltimore MLB Free Picks

Posted by Alex Murphy on Tuesday,May 26, 2015 3:25, EDT in

It takes a mixture of talent and a little bit of luck to put together a winning record in baseball. Sometimes the stats will show that you are deserving of where you are, while other times the numbers will show that perhaps you are on a run that might not be sustainable. That is where the Houston Astros are right now in the MLB odds, as they prepare to play the Baltimore Orioles in the final of a 3-game series on Wednesday.

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Free Picks

Date/Time: Wednesday, May 27, 4:35 PM
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
TV/radio: MLBN, Root Sports, KBME 790, KLAT 1010
Opening Line: Orioles -116

 

 

As it stands right now, the Astros (29-17) are running away with the AL West, but there is a stat they hold that looks as though it is going to be difficult to maintain. They have scored 205 runs this season, which puts them among the top scorers in the AL, yet they are doing so with an on base percentage that ranks well down in the pack. As good as they have been, thanks in large part to timely hitting, you get the sense that their luck could start to run out a little bit of they continue with this trend. By the time that bubble bursts, assuming it does, they may well have built up a lead atop the division that is going to be hard to chip away at. Collin McHugh (5-2, 4.06 ERA) will get the start for the Astros on Wednesday. McHugh has lost 2 of his last 3 starts, but other than his outing versus the Giants, he has not pitched particularly poorly during that stretch.

The Orioles (20-22) have spent the past week doing what they have done all season long, which is essentially flirt with .500 ball. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and have spent the first two months of the season playing the same type of ball. They have been winning a series, losing one, and then winning the next since the season began, and they really need to find a way to get on some kind of hot streak. The good news is that the AL East is about as wide open as it gets, and the O’s are just 2 games out of first place at the time of writing. They got the series versus the Astros off to a winning start on Monday, and will be looking to keep things rolling in the next 2.Wednesday will see the O’s send Ubaldo Jimenez (3-3, 2.82 ERA) to the mound. Jimenez has now gone 2 straight starts without a win, and was hit pretty hard in his last start.

Key Betting Trends

Houston Astros
  • Houston is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Houston is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
  • Houston is 2-11-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
  • Baltimore is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • Baltimore is 15-5-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing Houston
  • Baltimore is 11-2-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston

Consider This Before Placing Your Bets

The Orioles have been a lot better at home than they have been on the road this season, but I think they might be in a little tough here. I like the Astros to walk away with the win in the final game of this series.

Sources:
Baseball-reference.com: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mchugco01.shtml
YahooSports.com: http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7900/