Yankees vs Astros 2019 ALCS Game 2 Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Yankees vs Astros 2019 ALCS Game 2 Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Written by on October 13, 2019

The Houston Astros look to even their best-of-7 series against the New York Yankees on Sunday, Oct. 13. The Yankees obliterated the Stros 7-0 in an impressive Game 1 win. Can Houston bounce back? Or, will NYY take a commanding 2-0 ALCS lead? Check out the MLB odds, analysis and a free pick for Yankees vs Astros Game 2!

Yankees vs Astros 2019 ALCS Game 2 Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Sunny: 30°C/86°F
  • Humidity: 58%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Wind: 10 mph SE
  • Cloud Cover: 15%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Why New York Yankees are a good bet at +140?

The Yankees don’t start any true aces, but they send some extremely capable pitchers to the mound in the first inning, that’s for sure. On Saturday, they sent Masahiro Tanaka out there. He responded beautifully with a stunning performance.

James Paxton hopes to emulate Tanaka’s performance on Sunday. Paxton’s overall numbers, like Tanaka’s, aren’t mind-blowing. However, backed by New York’s awesome offense, Sunday’s starter mustn’t be perfect for NYY to go up 2-0 here. This is a tough game for the Yankees to win. It’s not impossible for them to win.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.82
  • BA: .267
  • OPS: .829
  • HR: 306
  • SB: 55
Defense:
  • ERA: 4.31
  • WHIP: 1.30
  • KS: 1534
  • Quality Starts: 53
  • Errors: 102

Why Houston Astros are a good bet at -160?

Astros’ Saturday starter Zack Greinke didn’t pitch all that badly when giving up 3 earned runs in 6 innings. When you’ve got the first ranked offense based on batting average to back you up, you expect to get past a 3 runs allowed performance.

That didn’t happen on Saturday because the Yankees held Houston to 3 hits from 27 at-bats. Yes, Justin Verlander should be great, but the real reason Houston wins on Sunday is because their bats should come to life. If Houston’s bats are even half as good as they were during the regular season, they’ll score at least 4 runs off of Paxton on Oct. 13.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.68
  • BA: .274
  • OPS: .848
  • HR: 288
  • SB: 67
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.68
  • WHIP: 1.13
  • KS: 1671
  • Quality Starts: 88
  • Errors: 70

MLB ALCS Game 2 Betting Trends for Yankees vs Astros

  • Yankees are 6-0 in Paxton’s last 6 road stars
  • Yankees are 5-0 in Paxton’s last 5 starts versus a team with a winning record
  • NY is 20-7 in their last 27 starts
  • Astros are 21-5 in their last 26 Sunday games
  • Astros are 21-5 in their last 26 home games versus a left-handed starter
  • Houston is 6-0 in their last 6 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game

ALCS Game 2 Yankees vs Astros Betting Analysis

The Stros bat .268 off James Paxton. They’ve got 61 hits from 228 at-bats. Those 61 hits include 7 home runs and 23 runs batted in. They should have no trouble taking it to Paxton after a dreadful performance at the plate on Saturday.

When Justin Verlander takes the mound, the Astros should feel comfortable. Verlander throws off 5-days of rest. The Rays demolished him off 3-days of rest. 5-days is what Verlander needs to excel on the mound.

The Yankees bat .186 against Verlander. So, he should shut down New York’s bats. Although the game on Saturday was sort of a shock, the series is far from over. Houston will even things up on Sunday. Forget the moneyline. The confident wager is on the Astros at -1 ½ +130. Take Houston on the run line to reestablish their World Series favoritism.

MLB Free Pick: Houston Astros -1 ½ +130 
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