NY Yankees vs Orioles MLB Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

Yankees vs Orioles MLB Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

Written by on April 4, 2019

The New York Yankees send one of their top starters in James Paxton to the mound on Thursday afternoon to battle the rival Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees hope Paxton gives them a road win in tough Camden Yards. Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick!

Yankees vs Orioles MLB Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

NY Yankees vs Orioles MLB Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions 
  • When: Thursday, April 4 at 3:05pm ET
  • Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
  • TV: MLBN
  • Radio: Yankees / Orioles
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -220
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 8

Why New York Yankees are a good bet at -220?

James Paxton faced the Orioles on March 30. He actually didn’t throw all that badly, allowing 1 earned run off 4 hits in 5.2 innings. That’s the strange thing about the game. Manager Aaron Boone pulled Paxton after only 5.2 innings of work even though he had struck out 5 already.

If Boone gives James a bit more run, maybe at least let him finish the sixth or even go into the seventh, the Yankees should be in a much better position for the win today.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 3.33
  • BA: .229
  • OPS: .696
  • HR: 6
  • SB: 3
Defense:
  • ERA: 2.802.50
  • WHIP: 1.13
  • KS: 58
  • Quality Starts: 1
  • Errors: 7

Why Baltimore Orioles are a good bet at +180?

The Orioles activated Alex Cobb to start the O’s home opener today. He had been on the 10-day disabled list and failed to get the start on March 30. History tells us he should only go around 4 innings today.

That could be a blessing in disguise for Baltimore. The Orioles beat the Yankees 5-3 on March 31 primarily by going to their bullpen. If they use the same tactics today, they could push for the same outcome.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 4.17
  • BA: .234
  • OPS: .669
  • HR: 6
  • SB: 3
Defense:
  • ERA: 4.33
  • WHIP: 1.54
  • KS: 50
  • Quality Starts: 2
  • Errors: 2

MLB Betting Trends for New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 versus the American League East
  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 overall
  • Yankees are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore
  • Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 Thursday games
  • Orioles are 1-10 in Cobb’s last 11 home starts
  • Orioles are 8-20 in Cobb’s last 28 starts

Yankees vs Orioles Final MLB Betting Analysis

Baltimore is 4-2 while the Yankees are off to a slow start with a 2-4 record. The problem New York seems to be having, though, is Aaron Boone making the right calls during the game.

Boone’s figuring out his bullpen situation. Getting starter Luis Severino back should help him do that. He’s got a least 3 more weeks before that happens. For now, he seems to be experimenting with his starters and relievers. That’s what did in James Paxton’s first start and it cost the Yankees the game.

Boone won’t overthink it on Thursday afternoon. He’ll let Paxton work his way out of trouble. If he can get at least a full 6 innings from James, the Yankees should turn the tables on Baltimore because even though the bullpen is 0-2 this season, NYY’s relievers rank tenth with a 2.74 ERA.

MLB Free Pick: Yankees -220

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