A Look at the 2016 Championship Favorites: Where’s The Real NBA Odds Value?

Posted by Alex Murphy on August 16, 2015 in

The NBA odds to win the 2016 NBA Championship have been out for quite some time now, with the only variation being on how bookies have adjusted their lines based on the offseason moves that have been made so far in league. Initially, most online sportsbooks had the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors as the hottest favorites to meet in the 2016 NBA Championship game. However, following June’s draft and July’s free agency period, the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Clippers have seen a meteoric rise in their odds to clinch the Western Conference crown and reach the National Championship game, with the Bulls and Heat also doing a bit of some up-climbing in the East.

A Look at the 2016 Championship Favorites: Where’s The Real NBA Odds Value?



In light of such changes, here is an early look at the 2015-16 NBA Championship odds favorites, complete with an analysis of the teams that offer best early betting values to NBA bettors.

Golden State Warriors

Following their stellar 2014-15 run that saw them beat the Cavs in the Finals, the Warriors didn’t make any key additions to the team, focusing on retaining the talents from their championship-winning season, including a franchise-record 67 wins in the regular season. Most notable of their offseason moves was the re-signing of two-way guard Draymond Green to a five-year deal. Going by the way the team gelled well last season, another solid showing can be expected from the Splash Brothers (Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson), along with the likes of Green and NBA Finals MVP Andre Iguodala, but it remains to be seen if they can go the distance against the much-improved Western Conference competition.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Like the Warriors, the Cavs mainly focused on retaining the core of their 2014-15 season, giving new deals to the likes LeBron James, Tristan Thompson, Kevin Love and Iman Shumpert, so putting up a championship-worthy should be very possible for them. Even more favorably for the Cavs, none of the teams in the East (apart from Miami) look improved enough to pose a serious threat to Cleveland’s dominance, meaning the road to the finals will probably be much easier for LeBron and Co.

San Antonio Spurs

Arguably the biggest winners in the offseason, the Spurs have commendably done A LOT to improve their chances of a fourth NBA Finals meeting between LeBron James and San Antonio for a fourth time in NBA history. After being bundled out of the playoffs by the Clippers earlier this year, Gregg Popovich and his team went deep in the free agency, retaining services of Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green, and veterans David West, Manu Ginobili and Tim Duncan. And in addition to that fine-blend of young and veteran talent, the Spurs filled a huge big-man offensive need by signing LaMarcus Aldridge, the best free agent in 2015, instantly transforming from a good team to one of the most talented units in the NBA. In essence, that’s the reason the Spurs have moved up some books as the top favorites to win the Western Conference title, ahead of Golden State and other top-heavy teams like the Clippers, Thunder and Rockets. With the Spurs still making changes in the squad, the team can only get better as the odds get pricier, so the sooner you can wager on them, the better for you. After all, with Popovich at the helm, the Spurs are usually guaranteed of top national contention every year, so 2015 should be no different, especially if you consider their greatly improved unit.

Los Angeles Clippers

It wasn’t easy for the Los Angeles Clippers, but the Western Conference hotshots re-signed DeAndre Jordan, ensuring that darling trio of Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Jordan remained intact. Since Paul joined Griffin and Jordan, the Clippers haven’t won less than 56 games in any of the last three seasons, becoming perennial playoff contenders, with the only problem coming in terms of going it deep in the postseason games. But after surrendering a 3-1 series lead to the Rockets and losing in the Western Conference Semifinals last season, things could be differently better in LA, as the Clipper have made a number of key offseason additions to the team, including the important duo of Paul Pierce and Josh Smith. With such depth, it wouldn’t be far-fetched to say that the Clippers have the needed pieces to go all the way to 2016 NBA Finals.

Miami Heat

The Heat did not make it to last season’s postseason games, noticeably because they were hampered by costly injuries. For example, Dwayne Wade missed 20 games, while Chris Bosh only played 44 games in the entire season. Essentially, that’s why their odds to reach the 2016 NBA Finals were low at the start of the offseason. However, the Heat have seen an increase in their odds, thanks to the addition of Gerald Green and Amare Stoudemire, along with the re-signing of Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic. If the Heat can keep their team healthy, and the recently recruited players (led by Justise Winslow) find their footing in 2015, the Heat could be a huge threat to Cleveland and other teams in the race for the Eastern Conference title.

Other Solid Teams Worth Banking on: Oklahoma City, Dallas Mavericks and Chicago Bulls.

H4-Entertainment.com (http://www.h4-entertainment.com/2015/08/josh-smith-and-paul-pierce-are-the-most-important-additions-for-los-angeles/)
ESPN.com (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3449/kevin-love)